Tests for Seasonal Moving Average Unit Root in ARIMA Models
ARIMA模型中季节移动平均单位根的检验
Procedures to test for a unit root in the seasonal moving average (MA) operator for seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models are examined. Such procedures are useful to distinguish deterministic from stochastic seasonal patterns. The simple (integrated) seasonal MA(1) model Z t ≡ Y t - Yt-s = (1 - θB s)ϵt, where {Y t} is the observed seasonal series and {ϵt} is a white noise sequence, is considered, and tests for H 0: θ = 1 versus H 1: θ < 1 are…