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挖掘因子动物园：借助充分代理变量估计潜在因子模型AI 解读

Latent factor model estimation typically relies on either using domain knowledge to manually pick several observed covariates as factor proxies, or purely conducting multivariate analysis such as principal component analysis. However, the former approach may suffer from the bias while the latter cannot incorporate additional information. We propose to bridge these two approaches while allowing the number of factor proxies to diverge, and hence make the latent factor model…

零膨胀结局的乘法结构嵌套均值模型AI 解读

Summary Zero-inflated nonnegative outcomes are common in many applications. In this work, motivated by freemium mobile game data, we propose a class of multiplicative structural nested mean models for zero-inflated nonnegative outcomes which flexibly describes the joint effect of a sequence of treatments in the presence of time-varying confounders. The proposed estimator solves a doubly robust estimating equation, where the nuisance functions, namely the propensity score and…

无限时域强化学习中价值函数的统计推断AI 解读

Abstract Reinforcement learning is a general technique that allows an agent to learn an optimal policy and interact with an environment in sequential decision-making problems. The goodness of a policy is measured by its value function starting from some initial state. The focus of this paper was to construct confidence intervals (CIs) for a policy’s value in infinite horizon settings where the number of decision points diverges to infinity. We propose to model the…

通过递归在线得分估计进行高维模型推断AI 解读

In this paper, we develop a new estimation and valid inference method for single or low-dimensional regression coefficients in high-dimensional generalized linear models. The number of the predictors is allowed to grow exponentially fast with respect to the sample size. The proposed estimator is computed by solving a score function. We recursively conduct model selection to reduce the dimensionality from high to a moderate scale and construct the score equation based on the…

基于随机梯度下降的在线决策统计推断AI 解读

Online decision making aims to learn the optimal decision rule by making personalized decisions and updating the decision rule recursively. It has become easier than before with the help of big data, but new challenges also come along. Since the decision rule should be updated once per step, an offline update which uses all the historical data is inefficient in computation and storage. To this end, we propose a completely online algorithm that can make decisions and update…

最优治疗决策的一致性与价值信息准则AI 解读

Personalized medicine is a medical procedure that receives considerable scientific and commercial attention. The goal of personalized medicine is to assign the optimal treatment regime for each individual patient, according to his/her personal prognostic information. When there are a large number of pretreatment variables, it is crucial to identify those important variables that are necessary for treatment decision making. In this paper, we study two information criteria:…

情境老虎机在线决策中的统计推断AI 解读

Online decision making problem requires us to make a sequence of decisions based on incremental information. Common solutions often need to learn a reward model of different actions given the contextual information and then maximize the long-term reward. It is meaningful to know if the posited model is reasonable and how the model performs in the asymptotic sense. We study this problem under the setup of the contextual bandit framework with a linear reward model. The…

基于稀疏随机投影的整体定性处理效应检验AI 解读

In contrast to the classical "one size fits all" approach, precision medicine proposes the customization of individualized treatment regimes to account for patients' heterogeneity in response to treatments. Most of existing works in the literature focused on estimating optimal individualized treatment regimes. However, there has been less attention devoted to hypothesis testing regarding the existence of overall qualitative treatment effects, especially when there is a large…

事件发生时间数据中的社会网络依赖检验与估计AI 解读

Nowadays, events are spread rapidly along social networks. We are interested in whether people's responses to an event are affected by their friends' characteristics. For example, how soon will a person start playing a game given that his/her friends like it? Studying social network dependence is an emerging research area. In this work, we propose a novel latent spatial autocorrelation Cox model to study social network dependence with time-to-event data. The proposed model…

条件定性处理效应的检验AI 解读

Precision medicine is an emerging medical paradigm that focuses on finding the most effective treatment strategy tailored for individual patients. In the literature, most of the existing works focused on estimating the optimal treatment regime. However, there has been less attention devoted to hypothesis testing regarding the optimal treatment regime. In this paper, we first introduce the notion of conditional qualitative treatment effects (CQTE) of a set of variables given…

具有立方根收敛率的 M 估计量的大数据框架AI 解读

The divide and conquer method is a common strategy for handling massive data. In this article, we study the divide and conquer method for cubic-rate estimators under the massive data framework. We develop a general theory for establishing the asymptotic distribution of the aggregated M-estimators using a weighted average with weights depending on the subgroup sample sizes. Under certain condition on the growing rate of the number of subgroups, the resulting aggregated…

异质个体化治疗效应下最优治疗决策的最大最小投影学习AI 解读

Summary A salient feature of data from clinical trials and medical studies is inhomogeneity. Patients not only differ in baseline characteristics, but also in the way that they respond to treatment. Optimal individualized treatment regimes are developed to select effective treatments based on patient's heterogeneity. However, the optimal treatment regime might also vary for patients across different subgroups. We mainly consider patients’ heterogeneity caused by groupwise…

最优动态治疗方案的高维A-learningAI 解读

Precision medicine is a medical paradigm that focuses on finding the most effective treatment decision based on individual patient information. For many complex diseases, such as cancer, treatment decisions need to be tailored over time according to patients' responses to previous treatments. Such an adaptive strategy is referred as a dynamic treatment regime. A major challenge in deriving an optimal dynamic treatment regime arises when an extraordinary large number of…

用于估计最优个体化治疗规则的一致性辅助学习AI 解读

Summary We propose new concordance-assisted learning for estimating optimal individualized treatment regimes. We first introduce a type of concordance function for prescribing treatment and propose a robust rank regression method for estimating the concordance function. We then find treatment regimes, up to a threshold, to maximize the concordance function, named the prescriptive index. Finally, within the class of treatment regimes that maximize the concordance function, we…

最大化 t 年生存概率的最优治疗策略估计AI 解读

Summary A treatment regime is a deterministic function that dictates personalized treatment based on patients’ individual prognostic information. There is increasing interest in finding optimal treatment regimes, which determine treatment at one or more treatment decision points to maximize expected long-term clinical outcomes, where larger outcomes are preferred. For chronic diseases such as cancer or human immunodeficiency virus infection, survival time is often the…

用于亚组识别与样本量计算的变平面分析AI 解读

Ailin Fana, Rui Songa & Wenbin Lua*a Department of Statistics, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NCCONTACT Wenbin Lu lu@stat.ncsu.edu Department of Statistics, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC 27695ABSTRACTWe propose a systematic method for testing and identifying a subgroup with an enhanced treatment effect. We adopts a change-plane technique to first test the existence of a subgroup, and then identify the subgroup if the null hypothesis on nonexistence…

通过包络方法进行分组降维AI 解读

The family of sufficient dimension reduction (SDR) methods that produce informative combinations of predictors, or indices, are particularly useful for high dimensional regression analysis. In many such analyses, it becomes increasingly common that there is available a priori subject knowledge of the predictors; e.g., they belong to different groups. While many recent SDR proposals have greatly expanded the scope of the methods' applicability, how to effectively incorporate…

一般有偏抽样下半参数变换模型的统一方法AI 解读

We propose a unified estimation method for semiparametric linear transformation models under general biased sampling schemes. The new estimator is obtained from a set of counting process-based unbiased estimating equations, developed through introducing a general weighting scheme that offsets the sampling bias. The usual asymptotic properties, including consistency and asymptotic normality, are established under suitable regularity conditions. A closed-form formula is…

部分线性变换模型的估计AI 解读

We study a general class of partially linear transformation models, which extend linear transformation models by incorporating nonlinear covariate effects in survival data analysis. A new martingale-based estimating equation approach, consisting of both global and kernel-weighted local estimation equations, is developed for estimating the parametric and nonparametric covariate effects in a unified manner. We show that with a proper choice of the kernel bandwidth parameter,…

预测变量缺失时的充分降维AI 解读

In high-dimensional data analysis, sufficient dimension reduction (SDR) methods are effective in reducing the predictor dimension, while retaining full regression information and imposing no parametric models. However, it is common in high-dimensional data that a subset of predictors may have missing observations. Existing SDR methods resort to the complete-case analysis by removing all the subjects with missingness in any of the predictors under inquiry. Such an approach…

病例队列研究的半参数变换模型AI 解读

A general class of semiparametric transformation models is studied for analysing survival data from the case-cohort design, which was introduced by Prentice (1986). Weighted estimating equations are proposed for simultaneous estimation of the regression parameters and the transformation function. It is shown that the resulting regression estimators are asymptotically normal, with variance-covariance matrix that has a closed form and can be consistently estimated by the usual…