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Identifying latent factors based on high-frequency data

基于高频数据识别潜在因子

This paper tests whether the continuous component of an observable candidate factor is in the space spanned by the counterparts of latent common factors with high-frequency financial data. We introduce two identification strategies corresponding to two types of regressions: the regressions of intraday asset returns on the estimated factors and the candidate, and the regression of the candidate factor on the estimated ones. We construct the test statistics by adding…

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A Factor-Based Estimation of Integrated Covariance Matrix With Noisy High-Frequency Data

含噪高频数据积分协方差矩阵的因子估计

This article studies a high-dimensional factor model with sparse idiosyncratic covariance matrix in continuous time, using asynchronous high-frequency financial data contaminated by microstructure noise. We focus on consistent estimations of the number of common factors, the integrated covariance matrix and its inverse, based on the flat-top realized kernels introduced by Varneskov. Simulation results illustrate the satisfactory performance of our estimators in finite…

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Prediction of Extremal Expectile Based on Regression Models With Heteroscedastic Extremes

异方差极值回归模型中的极端期望分位数预测

Expectile recently receives much attention for its coherence as a tail risk measure. Estimation of conditional expectile at extremal tails is of great interest in quantitative risk management. Regression analysis is a convenient and useful way to quantify the conditional effect of some predictors or risk factors on an interesting response variable. However, when it comes to the estimation of extremal conditional expectile, the traditional inference methods may suffer from…

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