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Adaptive functional principal components analysis

自适应函数型主成分分析

Abstract Functional data analysis almost always involves smoothing discrete observations into curves, because they are never observed in continuous time and rarely without error. Although smoothing parameters affect the subsequent inference, data-driven methods for selecting these parameters are not well-developed, frustrated by the difficulty of using all the information shared by curves while being computationally efficient. On the one hand, smoothing individual curves in…

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Wilks’ theorem for semiparametric regressions with weakly dependent data

弱依赖数据半参数回归的 Wilks 定理

The empirical likelihood inference is extended to a class of semiparametric models for stationary, weakly dependent series. A partially linear single-index regression is used for the conditional mean of the series given its past, and the present and past values of a vector of covariates. A parametric model for the conditional variance of the series is added to capture further nonlinear effects. We propose suitable moment equations which characterize the mean and variance…

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A general approach for cure models in survival analysis

生存分析中治愈模型的一般方法

In survival analysis it often happens that some subjects under study do not experience the event of interest; they are considered to be “cured.” The population is thus a mixture of two subpopulations, one of cured subjects and one of “susceptible” subjects. We propose a novel approach to estimate a mixture cure model when covariates are present and the lifetime is subject to random right censoring. We work with a parametric model for the cure proportion, while the…

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Testing the Predictor Effect on a Functional Response

预测变量对函数型响应影响的检验

This article examines the problem of nonparametric testing for the no-effect of a random covariate (or predictor) on a functional response. This means testing whether the conditional expectation of the response given the covariate is almost surely zero or not, without imposing any model relating response and covariate. The covariate could be univariate, multivariate, or functional. Our test statistic is a quadratic form involving univariate nearest neighbor smoothing and the…

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SEMIPARAMETRIC EFFICIENCY BOUNDS FOR CONDITIONAL MOMENT RESTRICTION MODELS WITH DIFFERENT CONDITIONING VARIABLES

不同条件变量下条件矩限制模型的半参数效率界

This paper addresses the problem of semiparametric efficiency bounds for conditional moment restriction models with different conditioning variables. We characterize such an efficiency bound, that in general is not explicit, as a limit of explicit efficiency bounds for a decreasing sequence of unconditional (marginal) moment restriction models. An iterative procedure for approximating the efficient score when this is not explicit is provided. Our theoretical results provide…

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Testing Second-Order Dynamics for Autoregressive Processes in Presence of Time-Varying Variance

时变方差下自回归过程二阶动态的检验

This article considers the volatility modeling for autoregressive univariate time series. A benchmark approach is the stationary autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (ARCH) model of Engle. Motivated by real data evidence, processes with nonconstant unconditional variance and ARCH effects have been recently introduced. We take into account this type of nonstationarity in variance and propose simple testing procedures for ARCH effects. Adaptive McLeod and Li’s…

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Smooth minimum distance estimation and testing with conditional estimating equations: Uniform in bandwidth theory

条件估计方程下的平滑最小距离估计与检验:带宽一致理论

To study the influence of a bandwidth parameter in inference with conditional moments, we propose a new class of estimators and establish an asymptotic representation of our estimator as a process indexed by a bandwidth, which can vary within a wide range including bandwidths independent of the sample size. We study its behavior under misspecification. We also propose an efficient version of our estimator. We develop a procedure based on a distance metric statistic for…

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One for All and All for One: Regression Checks With Many Regressors

一为众、众为一:多回归变量下的回归模型检验

We develop a novel approach to building checks of parametric regression models when many regressors are present, based on a class of sufficiently rich semiparametric alternatives, namely single-index models. We propose an omnibus test based on the kernel method that performs against a sequence of directional nonparametric alternatives as if there was only one regressor whatever the number of regressors. This test can be viewed as a smooth version of the integrated…

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A Capture–Recapture Approach for Screening Using Two Diagnostic Tests With Availability of Disease Status for the Test Positives Only

仅核实筛查阳性者疾病状态时的双诊断检验捕获—再捕获方法

The article considers screening human populations with two screening tests. If any of the two tests is positive, then full evaluation of the disease status is undertaken; however, if both diagnostic tests are negative, then disease status remains unknown. This procedure leads to a data constellation in which, for each disease status, the 2 × 2 table associated with the two diagnostic tests used in screening has exactly one empty, unknown cell. To estimate the unobserved cell…

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Product-limit estimators of the survival function with twice censored data

双重删失数据下生存函数的乘积极限估计

A model for competing (resp. complementary) risks survival data where the failure time can be left (resp. right) censored is proposed. Product-limit estimators for the survival functions of the individual risks are derived. We deduce the strong convergence of our estimators on the whole real half-line without any additional assumptions and their asymptotic normality under conditions concerning only the observed distribution. When the observations are generated according to…

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Iterative and Recursive Estimation in Structural Nonadaptive Models

结构非自适应模型的迭代与递归估计

appears well suited for econometric models where the structural relationships of interest define the observed endogenous variables as a known function of unobserved state variables and unknown parameters. This nonlinear state-space specification paves the way for iterative or recursive EM-like strategies. In the E steps, the state variables are forecasted given the observations and a value of the parameters. In the M steps, these forecasts are used to deduce estimators of…

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Convex Models, MLS and Misspecification

凸模型、MLS与模型误设

We analyze the asymptotic behavior of maximum likelihood estimators (MLE) in convex dominated models when the true distribution generating the independent data does not necessarily belong to the model. Inspired by the Hellinger distance and its properties, we introduce a family of divergences (contrast functions) which allow a unified treatment of well- and misspecified convex models. Convergence and rates of convergence of the MLE with respect to our divergences are…

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