Toward Causal Inference for Spatio-Temporal Data: Conflict and Forest Loss in Colombia
面向时空数据的因果推断：哥伦比亚冲突与森林损失
How does armed conflict influence tropical forest loss? For Colombia, both enhancing and reducing effect estimates have been reported. However, a lack of causal methodology has prevented establishing clear causal links between these two variables. In this work, we propose a class of causal models for spatio-temporal stochastic processes which allows us to formally define and quantify the causal effect of a vector of covariates X on a real-valued response Y. We introduce a…