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Estimation beyond missing (completely) at random

超越随机缺失与完全随机缺失的估计

We study the effects of missingness on the estimation of population parameters. Moving beyond restrictive missing completely at random (MCAR) assumptions, we first formulate a missing data analogue of Huber’s arbitrary ϵ-contamination model. For mean estimation with respect to squared Euclidean error loss, we show that the minimax quantiles decompose as a sum of the corresponding minimax quantiles under a heterogeneous, MCAR assumption and a robust error term, depending on…

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Rate Optimality and Phase Transition for User-Level Local Differential Privacy

用户级局部差分隐私的速率最优性与相变

Most literature on differential privacy considers the item-level case where each user has a single observation, but a growing field is that of user-level privacy where each of the n users holds T observations and wishes to maintain the privacy of their entire collection. We derive a general minimax lower bound, which shows that, for locally private user-level estimation problems, the risk cannot, in general, be made to vanish for a fixed n even for T arbitrarily large. We…

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Tests of missing completely at random based on sample covariance matrices

基于样本协方差矩阵的完全随机缺失检验

We study the problem of testing whether the missing values of a potentially high-dimensional dataset are Missing Completely at Random (MCAR). We relax the problem of testing MCAR to the problem of testing the compatibility of a collection of covariance matrices, motivated by the fact that this procedure is feasible when the dimension grows with the sample size. Our first contributions are to define a natural measure of the incompatibility of a collection of correlation…

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Nonparametric classification with missing data

缺失数据下的非参数分类

We introduce a new nonparametric framework for classification problems in the presence of missing data. The key aspect of our framework is that the regression function decomposes into an anova-type sum of orthogonal functions, of which some (or even many) may be zero. Working under a general missingness setting, which allows features to be missing not at random, our main goal is to derive the minimax rate for the excess risk in this problem. In addition to the decomposition…

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Optimal nonparametric testing of Missing Completely At Random and its connections to compatibility

完全随机缺失的最优非参数检验及其与相容性的联系

Given a set of incomplete observations, we study the nonparametric problem of testing whether data are Missing Completely At Random (MCAR). Our first contribution is to characterise precisely the set of alternatives that can be distinguished from the MCAR null hypothesis. This reveals interesting and novel links to the theory of Fréchet classes (in particular, compatible distributions) and linear programming, that allow us to propose MCAR tests that are consistent against…

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Efficient functional estimation and the super-oracle phenomenon

有效泛函估计与超越自然预言机的现象

We consider the estimation of two-sample integral functionals, of the type that occur naturally, for example, when the object of interest is a divergence between unknown probability densities. Our first main result is that, in wide generality, a weighted nearest neighbour estimator is efficient, in the sense of achieving the local asymptotic minimax lower bound. Moreover, we also prove a corresponding central limit theorem, which facilitates the construction of…

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On robustness and local differential privacy

稳健性与局部差分隐私

It is of soaring demand to develop statistical analysis tools that are robust against contamination as well as preserving individual data owners’ privacy. In spite of the fact that both topics host a rich body of literature, to the best of our knowledge, we are the first to systematically study the connections between the optimality under Huber’s contamination model and the local differential privacy (LDP) constraints. In this paper, we start with a general minimax lower…

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Optimal rates for independence testing via U-statistic permutation tests

基于U统计量置换检验的独立性检验最优速率

We study the problem of independence testing given independent and identically distributed pairs taking values in a σ-finite, separable measure space. Defining a natural measure of dependence D(f) as the squared L2-distance between a joint density f and the product of its marginals, we first show that there is no valid test of independence that is uniformly consistent against alternatives of the form {f:D(f)≥ρ2}. We therefore restrict attention to alternatives that impose…

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Local nearest neighbour classification with applications to semi-supervised learning

局部最近邻分类及其半监督学习应用

We derive a new asymptotic expansion for the global excess risk of a local-$k$-nearest neighbour classifier, where the choice of $k$ may depend upon the test point. This expansion elucidates conditions under which the dominant contribution to the excess risk comes from the decision boundary of the optimal Bayes classifier, but we also show that if these conditions are not satisfied, then the dominant contribution may arise from the tails of the marginal distribution of the…

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The Conditional Permutation Test for Independence While Controlling for Confounders

控制混杂因素的条件独立性置换检验

Summary We propose a general new method, the conditional permutation test, for testing the conditional independence of variables X and Y given a potentially high dimensional random vector Z that may contain confounding factors. The test permutes entries of X non-uniformly, to respect the existing dependence between X and Z and thus to account for the presence of these confounders. Like the conditional randomization test of Candès and co-workers in 2018, our test relies on…

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Efficient multivariate entropy estimation via $k$-nearest neighbour distances

Many statistical procedures, including goodness-of-fit tests and methods for independent component analysis, rely critically on the estimation of the entropy of a distribution. In this paper, we seek entropy estimators that are efficient and achieve the local asymptotic minimax lower bound with respect to squared error loss. To this end, we study weighted averages of the estimators originally proposed by Kozachenko and Leonenko [Probl. Inform. Transm. 23 (1987), 95–101],…

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