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Functional semiparametric modeling for nonstationary and periodic time series data

非平稳与周期时间序列的函数型半参数建模

Inspired by a real data example illustrating the periodicity in hog price data, this study aims to analyze time series that exhibit an unknown period alongside complex covariate effects. To address these complexities and effectively handle the data structures, we incorporate the partial functional varying-coefficient single-index model into the classical time series decomposition model. We propose a two-stage estimation procedure designed to accurately estimate the unknown…

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Robust Inference for Nonstationary Time Series with Possibly Multiple Changing Periodic Structures

可能存在多次周期结构变化的非平稳时间序列稳健推断

Motivated by two examples concerning global warming and monthly total import and export by China, we study time series that contain a nonparametric periodic component with an unknown period, a nonparametric trending behavior and also additive covariate effects. Further, as the amplitude function may change at some known or unknown change-point(s), we extend our model to take this dynamical periodicity into account and introduce two change-point estimators. To the best of…

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Network-Based Clustering for Varying Coefficient Panel Data Models

变系数面板数据模型的网络聚类方法

In this article, we introduce a novel varying-coefficient panel-data model with locally stationary regressors and unknown group structure, in which the number of groups and the group membership are left unspecified. We develop a triple-localization approach to estimate the unknown subject-specific coefficient functions and then identify the latent group structure via community detection. To improve the efficiency of the first-stage estimator, we further propose a two-stage…

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Estimation and Identification of a Varying-Coefficient Additive Model for Locally Stationary Processes

局部平稳过程变系数可加模型的估计与模型识别

The additive model and the varying-coefficient model are both powerful regression tools, with wide practical applications. However, our empirical study on a financial data has shown that both of these models have drawbacks when applied to locally stationary time series. For the analysis of functional data, Zhang and Wang have proposed a flexible regression method, called the varying-coefficient additive model (VCAM), and presented a two-step spline estimation method.…

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Nonparametric fixed effects model for panel data with locally stationary regressors

具有局部平稳回归变量的非参数固定效应面板模型

We develop methods for inference in nonparametric time-varying fixed effects panel data models that allow for locally stationary regressors and for the time series length T and cross-section size N both being large. We first develop a pooled nonparametric profile least squares dummy variable approach to estimate the nonparametric function, and establish the optimal convergence rate and asymptotic normality of the resultant estimator. We then propose a test statistic to check…

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Analysis of Longitudinal Data With Semiparametric Estimation of Covariance Function

协方差函数半参数估计下的纵向数据分析

Improving efficiency for regression coefficients and predicting trajectories of individuals are two important aspects in analysis of longitudinal data. Both involve estimation of the covariance function. Yet, challenges arise in estimating the covariance function of longitudinal data collected at irregular time points. A class of semiparametric models for the covariance function is proposed by imposing a parametric correlation structure while allowing a nonparametric…

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Semilinear High-Dimensional Model for Normalization of Microarray Data

微阵列数据归一化的半线性高维模型

Normalization of microarray data is essential for removing experimental biases and revealing meaningful biological results. Motivated by a problem of normalizing microarray data, a semilinear in-slide model (SLIM) has been proposed. To aggregate information from other arrays, SLIM is generalized to account for across-array information, resulting in an even more dynamic semiparametric regression model. This model can be used to normalize microarray data even when there is no…

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