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平均奖励马尔可夫决策过程中的批量策略学习AI 解读

We consider the batch (off-line) policy learning problem in the infinite horizon Markov Decision Process. Motivated by mobile health applications, we focus on learning a policy that maximizes the long-term average reward. We propose a doubly robust estimator for the average reward and show that it achieves semiparametric efficiency. Further we develop an optimization algorithm to compute the optimal policy in a parameterized stochastic policy class. The performance of the…

移动健康干预中的时变因果效应调节评估AI 解读

In mobile health interventions aimed at behavior change and maintenance, treatments are provided in real time to manage current or impending high risk situations or promote healthy behaviors in near real time. Currently there is great scientific interest in developing data analysis approaches to guide the development of mobile interventions. In particular data from mobile health studies might be used to examine effect moderators-individual characteristics, time-varying…

分类测试误差的自适应置信区间AI 解读

The estimated test error of a learned classifier is the most commonly reported measure of classifier performance. However, constructing a high quality point estimator of the test error has proved to be very difficult. Furthermore, common interval estimators (e.g. confidence intervals) are based on the point estimator of the test error and thus inherit all the difficulties associated with the point estimation problem. As a result, these confidence intervals do not reliably…

个体化治疗规则的性能保证AI 解读

Because many illnesses show heterogeneous response to treatment, there is increasing interest in individualizing treatment to patients [11]. An individualized treatment rule is a decision rule that recommends treatment according to patient characteristics. We consider the use of clinical trial data in the construction of an individualized treatment rule leading to highest mean response. This is a difficult computational problem because the objective function is the…

响应与协变量均受删失时的 Theil–Sen 估计及天文学应用AI 解读

The Theil-Sen estimator of the slope parameter in simple linear regression is extended to data with both the response and the covariate subject to censoring. Based on inverting a suitable version of Kendall's τ statistic, this estimator requires weak assumptions and is simple to compute, and a simple estimate of its asymptotic variance is obtained. A second extension of the Theil-Sen estimator, based on a direct estimation of the median of pairwise slopes, is given. These…