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Fast Moment Estimation for Generalized Latent Dirichlet Models

广义潜在 Dirichlet 模型的快速矩估计

We develop a generalized method of moments (GMM) approach for fast parameter estimation in a new class of Dirichlet latent variable models with mixed data types. Parameter estimation via GMM has computational and statistical advantages over alternative methods, such as expectation maximization, variational inference, and Markov chain Monte Carlo. A key computational advantage of our method, Moment Estimation for latent Dirichlet models (MELD), is that parameter estimation…

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Bayesian Approximate Kernel Regression With Variable Selection

带变量选择的贝叶斯近似核回归

Nonlinear kernel regression models are often used in statistics and machine learning because they are more accurate than linear models. Variable selection for kernel regression models is a challenge partly because, unlike the linear regression setting, there is no clear concept of an effect size for regression coefficients. In this paper, we propose a novel framework that provides an effect size analog for each explanatory variable in Bayesian kernel regression models when…

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Geometric Representations of Random Hypergraphs

随机超图的几何表示

We introduce a novel parameterization of distributions on hypergraphs based on the geometry of points in Rd. The idea is to induce distributions on hypergraphs by placing priors on point configurations via spatial processes. This specification is then used to infer conditional independence models, or Markov structure, for multivariate distributions. This approach results in a broader class of conditional independence models beyond standard graphical models. Factorizations…

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Consistency of maximum likelihood estimation for some dynamical systems

若干动力系统中最大似然估计的一致性

We consider the asymptotic consistency of maximum likelihood parameter estimation for dynamical systems observed with noise. Under suitable conditions on the dynamical systems and the observations, we show that maximum likelihood parameter estimation is consistent. Our proof involves ideas from both information theory and dynamical systems. Furthermore, we show how some well-studied properties of dynamical systems imply the general statistical properties related to maximum…

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Partial Factor Modeling: Predictor-Dependent Shrinkage for Linear Regression

部分因子建模:线性回归中依赖预测变量的收缩

We develop a modified Gaussian factor model for the purpose of inducing predictor-dependent shrinkage for linear regression. The new model predicts well across a wide range of covariance structures, on real and simulated data. Furthermore, the new model facilitates variable selection in the case of correlated predictor variables, which often stymies other methods.

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