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On The Size and Power of System Tests for Cointegration

协整系统检验的尺寸与功效

System tests for cointegration proposed by Stock and Watson (1988), Johansen (1988), and Bewley and Yang (1995) are compared using Monte Carlo experiments that include overspecification of the lag length and data-generating processes with moving average disturbances. Both AIC and SIC are used to select the lag length of the approximating vector autoregressions. The three tests considered are found to have very different characteristics, and each dominates in some portion of…

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Tests for Cointegration Based on Canonical Correlation Analysis

基于典型相关分析的协整检验

Critical values are provided for four new tests for cointegration based on the canonical correlations and variates of a development of the Box-Tiao procedure. It is found that in finite samples the power of three of these tests, unlike the power of Johansen's and Engle and Yoo's tests, is highly robust to the correlation between the disturbances in the cointegrating relationships and those generating the common trends. The proposed tests perform well against these…

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