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基于保序回归的结构变化检验AI 解读

Detecting structural changes in economic relationships has been a longstanding challenge in econometrics. Most of the literature on structural breaks has considered abrupt structural breaks. Existing tests for detecting smooth structural change typically rely on kernel estimation. In this article, we introduce a novel tuning-parameter-free test that minimizes a criterion function over all possible nondecreasing or nonincreasing structural change functions. This test is…

随机游走倒数之和的极限分布AI 解读

This paper derives the limit distribution of the rescaled sum of the reciprocal of the positive part of a random walk with continuously distributed innovations, and of the rescaled sum of the reciprocal of the absolute value of a random walk with continuously distributed innovations. It also considers this statistic for the case of a simple random walk, and shows that the limit distribution is different for this case.

带漂移随机游走指数的和AI 解读

For many time series in empirical macro and finance, it is assumed that the logarithm of the series is a unit root process. Since we may want to assume a stable growth rate for the macroeconomics time series, it seems natural to potentially model such a series as a unit root process with drift. This assumption implies that the level of such a time series is the exponential of a unit root process with drift and therefore, it is of substantial interest to investigate…

固定效应空间动态面板的估计：空间协整情形AI 解读

Yu et al. (2008) establish asymptotic properties of quasi-maximum likelihood estimators for a stable spatial dynamic panel model with fixed effects when both the number of individuals n and the number of time periods T are large. This paper investigates unstable cases where there are unit roots generated by temporal and spatial correlations. We focus on the spatial cointegration model where some eigenvalues of the data generating process are equal to 1 and the outcomes of…

个体数与时期数均较大时固定效应空间动态面板的准极大似然估计AI 解读

This paper investigates the asymptotic properties of quasi-maximum likelihood estimators for spatial dynamic panel data with fixed effects, when both the number of individuals n and the number of time periods T are large. We consider the case where T is asymptotically large relative to n, the case where T is asymptotically proportional to n, and the case where n is asymptotically large relative to T. In the case where T is asymptotically large relative to n, the estimators…

积分时间序列非线性变换的进一步渐近结果AI 解读

This paper establishes various results involving functions of integrated processes. Two theorems—which improve similar results by Park and Phillips—are proved for averages of functions of an integrated process that has not been rescaled by the square root of sample size. In addition, two results are given that characterize asymptotic behavior of averages of nonintegrable functions of rescaled integrated processes; the observations close to the pole take over asymptotic…

Lp-GMM 估计量的性质AI 解读

This paper considers generalized method of moment–type estimators for which a criterion function is minimized that is not the “standard” quadratic distance measure but instead is a general L p distance measure. It is shown that the resulting estimators are root- n consistent but not in general asymptotically normally distributed, and we derive the limit distribution of these estimators. In addition, we prove that it is not possible to obtain estimators that are more…