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积分过程的负幂统计量AI 解读

This paper derives the limit distribution of the rescaled sum of the absolute value of an integrated process with continuously distributed innovations raised to a negative power less than $-$ 1, and of the analogous statistic that is obtained using the same function of an integrated process but only considering positive values of the integrated process. We show that the limit behavior of this statistic is determined by the values of the integrated process that are closest to…

动态时间序列二元选择模型AI 解读

This paper considers dynamic time series binary choice models. It proves near epoch dependence and strong mixing for the dynamic binary choice model with correlated errors. Using this result, it shows in a time series setting the validity of the dynamic probit likelihood procedure when lags of the dependent binary variable are used as regressors, and it establishes the asymptotic validity of Horowitz’s smoothed maximum score estimation of dynamic binary choice models with…

利用非线性协整估计货币需求函数AI 解读

Abstract Conventionally, the money demand function is estimated using a regression of the logarithm of money demand on either the interest rate or the logarithm of the interest rate. This equation is presumed to be a cointegrating regression. In this paper, we aim to combine the logarithmic specification, which models the liquidity trap better than a linear model, with the assumption that the interest rate itself is an integrated process. The proposed technique is robust to…

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“积分时间序列非线性变换的渐近理论”补遗AI 解读

Typically in time series econometrics, for many statistics, a rescaled integrated process is replaced with Brownian motion to find the limit distribution. For averages of functions of a rescaled integrated process, Park and Phillips have shown that this remains true for functions with poles, as long as a sample-size-dependent region around the poles is excluded from consideration, the function is locally integrable, and some other regularity conditions hold. In this…

A Mixingale inequality using an exponential moment.

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存在协整关系时的非线性最小化估计AI 解读

In this paper, we consider estimation of a long-run and a short-run parameter jointly in the presence of nonlinearities. The theory developed establishes limit behavior of minimization estimators of the long-run and short-run parameters jointly. Typically, if the long-run parameter that is present in a cointegrating relationship is estimated, its estimator will be superconsistent. Therefore, we may conjecture that the joint minimization estimation of both parameters jointly…

Conditions are derived for the consistency of kernel estimators of the variance of a sum of dependent heterogeneous random variables, with a representation as moving averages of near-epoch dependent functions of a mixing process. Fourth moments are not generally required. The conditions permit more dependence than a purely non-parametric representation allows, and may be close to those of the best-known conditions for the functional central limit theorem. The class of…

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函数中心极限定理与随机积分的弱收敛（二）AI 解读

This paper derives a functional central limit theorem for the partial sums of fractionally integrated processes, otherwise known as I ( d ) processes for | d | < 1/2. Such processes have long memory, and the limit distribution is the so-called fractional Brownian motion, having correlated increments even asymptotically. The underlying shock variables may themselves exhibit quite general weak dependence by being near-epoch-dependent functions of mixing processes. Several weak…

函数型中心极限定理与随机积分的弱收敛（一）AI 解读

This paper gives new conditions for the functional central limit theorem, and weak convergence of stochastic integrals, for near-epoch-dependent functions of mixing processes. These results have fundamental applications in the theory of unit root testing and cointegrating regressions. The conditions given improve on existing results in the literature in terms of the amount of dependence and heterogeneity permitted, and in particular, these appear to be the first such…

异方差与自相关一致协方差矩阵估计量的强一致性证明AI 解读

A strong consistency result for heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent covariance matrix estimators is proven in this paper. In addition, an error in a weak consistency proof for such estimators in the econometrics literature and a correction of that result is provided.

《动态非线性计量模型：渐近理论》书评AI 解读

Benedikt Pötscher and Ingmar Prucha are two exceptional econometricians who combine an extraordinary knowledge of the statistics and econometrics literature with great analytical skills. Both are excellent mathematicians, and the comment that can be heard among mathematicians that econometricians are “self-made mathematicians” definitely does not apply to them. Therefore, given the task of writing an overview of asymptotic theory for minimization estimators for dependent…

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相依异质随机变量的中心极限定理AI 解读

This paper presents central limit theorems for triangular arrays of mixingale and near-epoch-dependent random variables. The central limit theorem for near-epoch-dependent random variables improves results from the literature in various respects. The approach is to define a suitable Bernstein blocking scheme and apply a martingale difference central limit theorem, which in combination with weak dependence conditions renders the result. The most important application of this…

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