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Heterogeneity of consumption responses to income shocks in the presence of nonlinear persistence

非线性持久性下消费对收入冲击反应的异质性

In this paper we use the enhanced consumption data in the Panel Survey of Income Dynamics (PSID) from 2005–2017 to explore the transmission of income shocks to consumption. We build on the nonlinear quantile framework introduced in Arellano et al. (2017). Our focus is on the estimation of consumption responses to persistent nonlinear income shocks in the presence of unobserved heterogeneity. To reliably estimate heterogeneous responses in our unbalanced panel, we develop…

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Reprint of: Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models

重印:动态面板模型的初始条件与矩限制

Estimation of the dynamic error components model is considered using two alternative linear estimators that are designed to improve the properties of the standard first-differenced GMM estimator. Both estimators require restrictions on the initial conditions process. Asymptotic efficiency comparisons and Monte Carlo simulations for the simple AR(1) model demonstrate the dramatic improvement in performance of the proposed estimators compared to the usual first-differenced GMM…

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Initial conditions and Blundell–Bond estimators

初始条件与 Blundell–Bond 估计量

We place the Blundell–Bond paper in the context of the early development of panel data estimators that accounted for unobserved heterogeneity, dynamics and persistent economic series. The initial work focused on appropriate econometric methods to estimate dynamic models using unbalanced panel data with many firms and/or individuals but covering a small number of time periods. Eliminating the unobserved firm-specific ‘fixed’ effects by taking first-differences and using as…

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Estimation of a Heterogeneous Demand Function with Berkson Errors

含 Berkson 测量误差的异质性需求函数估计

Abstract Berkson errors are commonplace in empirical microeconomics. In consumer demand, this form of measurement error occurs when the price an individual pays is measured by the (weighted) average price paid by individuals in a group (e.g., a county) rather than the true transaction price. We show the importance of Berkson errors for demand estimation with nonseparable unobserved heterogeneity. We develop a consistent estimator using external information on the true price…

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Labour supply and taxation with restricted choices

选择受限下的劳动供给与税收

A model of labour supply and taxation is developed in which observed hours reflect both the distribution of preferences and restrictions on choices. Hours restrictions are placed in a constrained rational choice setting in which the set of alternative hours on offer is restricted. Choices are made on a random subset of possible hours. We focus on the case where the choice set contains at most two offers. We show that when the choice set distribution is known, preferences can…

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Nonparametric Estimation of a Nonseparable Demand Function under the Slutsky Inequality Restriction

Slutsky 不等式约束下不可分需求函数的非参数估计

We present a method for consistent nonparametric estimation of a demand function with nonseparable unobserved taste heterogeneity subject to the shape restriction implied by the Slutsky inequality. We use the method to estimate gasoline demand in the United States. The results reveal differences in behavior between heavy and moderate gasoline users. They also reveal variation in the responsiveness of demand to plausible changes in prices across the income distribution. We…

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Earnings and Consumption Dynamics: A Nonlinear Panel Data Framework

劳动收入与消费动态:非线性面板数据框架

We develop a new quantile-based panel data framework to study the nature of income persistence and the transmission of income shocks to consumption.Log-earnings are the sum of a general Markovian persistent component and a transitory innovation.The persistence of past shocks to earnings is allowed to vary according to the size and sign of the current shock.Consumption is modeled as an age-dependent nonlinear function of assets and the two earnings components.We establish the…

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Control functions in nonseparable simultaneous equations models

非可分联立方程模型中的控制函数

The control function approach (Heckman and Robb (1985)) in a system of linear simultaneous equations provides a convenient procedure to estimate one of the functions in the system using reduced form residuals from the other functions as additional regressors. The conditions on the structural system under which this procedure can be used in nonlinear and nonparametric simultaneous equations has thus far been unknown. In this paper, we define a new property of functions called…

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Bounding quantile demand functions using revealed preference inequalities

利用显示偏好不等式界定分位数需求函数

This paper develops a new approach to the estimation of consumer demand models with unobserved heterogeneity subject to revealed preference inequality restrictions. Particular attention is given to nonseparable heterogeneity. The inequality restrictions are used to identify bounds on counterfactual demand. A nonparametric estimator for these bounds is developed and asymptotic properties are derived. An empirical application using data from the UK Family Expenditure Survey…

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Measuring the price responsiveness of gasoline demand: Economic shape restrictions and nonparametric demand estimation

汽油需求的价格响应:经济形状约束与非参数估计

This paper develops a new method for estimating a demand function and the welfare consequences of price changes. The method is applied to gasoline demand in the United States and is applicable to other goods. The method uses shape restrictions derived from economic theory to improve the precision of a nonparametric estimate of the demand function. Using data from the U.S. National Household Travel Survey, we show that the restrictions are consistent with the data on gasoline…

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Semi-Nonparametric IV Estimation of Shape-Invariant Engel Curves

形状不变恩格尔曲线的半非参数工具变量估计

This paper studies a shape-invariant Engel curve system with endogenous total expenditure, in which the shape-invariant specification involves a common shift parameter for each demographic group in a pooled system of nonparametric Engel curves. We focus on the identification and estimation of both the nonparametric shapes of the Engel curves and the parametric specification of the demographic scaling parameters. The identification condition relates to the bounded…

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Latent Separability: Grouping Goods without Weak Separability

潜在可分性:不依赖弱可分性的商品分组

This paper develops a new concept of separability with overlapping groups. This is shown to provide a useful empirical and theoretical framework for investigating the grouping of goods and prices. It is a generalisation of weak separability in which goods are allowed to enter more than one group and where the composition of groups is identified by the choice of group specific exclusive goods. For the Almost Ideal and Translog demand models and their generalisations, we…

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Estimation in large and disaggregated demand systems: an estimator for conditionally linear systems

大型细分需求系统的估计:条件线性系统估计量

Empirical demand systems that do not impose unreasonable restrictions on preferences are typically non‐linear. We show, however, that all popular systems possess the property of conditional linearity. A computationally attractive iterated linear least squares estimator (ILLE) is proposed for large non‐linear simultaneous equation systems which are conditionally linear in unknown parameters. The estimator is shown to be consistent and its asymptotic efficiency properties are…

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Estimation in large and disaggregated demand systems: an estimator for conditionally linear systems

大型细分需求系统的估计:条件线性系统的估计量

Empirical demand systems that do not impose unreasonable restrictions on preferences are typically non-linear. We show, however, that all popular systems possess the property of conditional linearity. A computationally attractive iterated linear least squares estimator (ILLE) is proposed for large non-linear simultaneous equation systems which are conditionally linear in unknown parameters. The estimator is shown to be consistent and its asymptotic efficiency properties are…

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Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models

动态面板模型中的初始条件与矩限制

In this paper we consider estimation of the autoregressive error components model. When the autoregressive parameter is moderately large and the number of time series observations is moderately small, the usual Generalised Methods of Moments (GMM) estimator obtained after first differencing has been found to be poorly behaved. Here we consider alternative linear estimators that are designed to improve the properties of the standard first-differenced GMM estimator. We…

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Estimating Labor Supply Responses Using Tax Reforms

利用税制改革估计劳动供给反应

The 1980s tax reforms and the changing dispersion of wages offer one of the best opportunities yet to estimate labor supply effects. Nevertheless, changing sample composition, aggregate shocks, the changing composition of the tax paying population, and discontinuities in the tax system create serious identification and estimation problems. The authors develop grouping estimators that address these issues. Their results reveal positive and moderately sized wage elasticities.…

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