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Breitung 面板单位根检验及其局部渐近功效AI 解读

This note analyzes the local asymptotic power properties of a test proposed by Breitung (2000, in B. Baltagi (ed.), Nonstationary Panels, Panel Cointegration, and Dynamic Panels). We demonstrate that the Breitung test, like many other tests (including point optimal tests) for panel unit roots in the presence of incidental trends, has nontrivial power in neighborhoods that shrink toward the null hypothesis at the rate of n−1/4T−1 where n and T are the cross-section and…

Jeffreys 先验下联立方程模型有限信息分析的后验分布AI 解读

This paper studies the use of the Jeffreys prior in Bayesian analysis of the simultaneous equations model (SEM). Exact representations are obtained for the posterior density of the structural coefficient β in canonical SEMs with two endogenous variables. For the general case with m endogenous variables and an unknown covariance matrix, the Laplace approximation is used to derive an analytic formula for the same posterior density. Both the exact and the approximate formulas…

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最小绝对偏差估计量渐近分析的简捷方法AI 解读

Using generalized functions of random variables and generalized Taylor series expansions, we provide quick demonstrations of the asymptotic theory for the LAD estimator in a regression model setting. The approach is justified by the smoothing that is delivered in the limit by the asymptotics, whereby the generalized functions are forced to appear as linear functionals wherein they become real valued. Models with fixed and random regressors, and autoregressions with infinite…

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具有单位根和无限方差误差的时间序列回归AI 解读

In [4] Chan and Tran give the limit theory for the least-squares coefficient in a random walk with i.i.d. (identically and independently distributed) errors that are in the domain of attraction of a stable law. This paper discusses their results and provides generalizations to the case of I (1) processes with weakly dependent errors whose distributions are in the domain of attraction of a stable law. General unit root tests are also studied. It is shown that the…

部分识别的计量经济模型AI 解读

This paper studies a class of models where full identification is not necessarily assumed. We term such models partially identified. It is argued that partially identified systems are of practical importance since empirical investigators frequently proceed under conditions that are best described as apparent identification. One objective of the paper is to explore the properties of conventional statistical procedures in the context of identification failure. Our analysis…

通过鞅逼近证明样本协方差矩阵向随机积分的弱收敛AI 解读

Under general conditions the sample covariance matrix of a vector martingale and its differences converges weakly to the matrix stochastic integral ∫ 0 1 BdB′ , where B is vector Brownian motion. For strictly stationary and ergodic sequences, rather than martingale differences, a similar result obtains. In this case, the limit is ∫ 0 1 BdB′ + Λ and involves a constant matrix Λ of bias terms whose magnitude depends on the serial correlation properties of the sequence. This…

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理解计量经济学中的伪回归AI 解读

This paper provides an analytical study of linear regressions involving the levels of economic time series. An asymptotic theory is developed for regressions that relate quite general integrated random processes. This includes the spurious regressions of Granger and Newbold (1974) and the recent cointegrating regressions of Granger and Engle (1985). An asymptotic theory is developed for the regression coefficients and for conventional significance tests. It is shown that the…

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