An Empirical Bayes Problem with a Markovian Parameter
参数具有马尔可夫结构的经验贝叶斯问题
A study is made of an empirical Bayes estimation problem in which the set of parameter values is a realization of a stationary Markov chain. The Bayes rule is derived as a function of the transition probabilities of the Markov chain. The performance of empirical Bayes rules, which use estimates of these transition probabilities based on the observations, is investigated by simulation. Two other rules are shown to be competitors of the empirical Bayes rules in some particular…