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Nonparametric estimation of a periodic function

周期函数的非参数估计

Motivated by applications to brightness data on periodic variable stars, we study nonparametric methods for estimating both the period and the amplitude function from noisy observations of a periodic function made at irregularly spaced times. It is shown that nonparametric estimators of period converge at parametric rates and attain a semiparametric lower bound which is the same if the shape of the periodic function is unknown as if it were known. Also, first-order…

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On prediction intervals based on predictive likelihood or bootstrap methods

基于预测似然或自助法的预测区间

We argue that prediction intervals based on predictive likelihood do not correct for curvature with respect to the parameter value when they implicitly approximate an unknown probability density. Partly as a result of this difficulty, the order of coverage error associated with predictive intervals and predictive limits is equal to only the inverse of sample size. In this respect those methods do not improve on the simpler, 'naive' or 'estimative' approach. Moreover, in…

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Miscellanea. A note on design transformation and binning in nonparametric curve estimation

杂记:非参数曲线估计中的设计变换与等数量分箱

Methods based on design transformation and equal-number binning are shown to overcome problems of design sparseness, while retaining excellent theoretical properties. In company with local linear smoothing they produce optimal estimators, although with optirnality defined a little differently from in the nontransformed case. When used in conjunction with wavelet techniques they overcome problems of stochastic design, but, unlike related techniques based on convolution and…

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