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Improving Estimation Efficiency via Regression-Adjustment in Covariate-Adaptive Randomizations with Imperfect Compliance

不完全依从的协变量自适应随机化中,利用回归调整提高估计效率

Abstract We investigate how to improve efficiency using regression adjustments with covariates in covariate-adaptive randomizations (CARs) with imperfect subject compliance. Our regression-adjusted estimators, which are based on the doubly robust moment for local average treatment effects, are consistent and asymptotically normal even with heterogeneous probabilities of assignment and misspecified regression adjustments. We propose an optimal but potentially misspecified…

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A large confirmatory dynamic factor model for stock market returns in different time zones

跨时区股票收益的大型验证性动态因子模型

We propose a confirmatory dynamic factor model for a large number of stocks whose returns are observed daily across multiple time zones. The model has a global factor and a continental factor that both drive the individual stock return series. We propose two estimators of the model: a quasi-maximum likelihood estimator (QML-just-identified), and an improved estimator based on an Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm (QML-all-res). Our estimators are consistent and…

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Dynamic Autoregressive Liquidity (DArLiQ)

动态自回归流动性模型 DArLiQ

We introduce a new class of semiparametric dynamic autoregressive models for the Amihud illiquidity measure, which captures both the long-run trend in the illiquidity series with a nonparametric component and the short-run dynamics with an autoregressive component. We develop a generalized method of moments (GMM) estimator based on conditional moment restrictions and an efficient semiparametric maximum likelihood (ML) estimator based on an iid assumption. We derive large…

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ESTIMATION OF THE KRONECKER COVARIANCE MODEL BY QUADRATIC FORM

Kronecker 协方差模型的二次型估计

We propose a new estimator, the quadratic form estimator, of the Kronecker product model for covariance matrices. We show that this estimator has good properties in the large dimensional case (i.e., the cross-sectional dimension n is large relative to the sample size T ). In particular, the quadratic form estimator is consistent in a relative Frobenius norm sense provided ${\log }^3n/T\to 0$ . We obtain the limiting distributions of the Lagrange multiplier and Wald tests…

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Estimation of a multiplicative correlation structure in the large dimensional case

大维情形下乘法相关结构的估计

We propose a Kronecker product model for correlation or covariance matrices in the large dimensional case. The number of parameters of the model increases logarithmically with the dimension of the matrix. We propose a minimum distance (MD) estimator based on a log-linear property of the model, as well as a one-step estimator, which is a one-step approximation to the quasi-maximum likelihood estimator (QMLE). We establish rates of convergence and central limit theorems (CLT)…

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HIGHER ORDER ASYMPTOTIC THEORY WHEN A PARAMETER IS ON A BOUNDARY WITH AN APPLICATION TO GARCH MODELS

参数位于边界时的高阶渐近理论及其GARCH应用

Andrews (1999, Econometrica 67, 1341–1383) derived the first-order asymptotic theory for a very general class of estimators when a parameter is on a boundary. We derive the second-order asymptotic theory in this setting in some special cases. We focus on the behavior of the quasi maximum likelihood estimator (QMLE) in stationary and nonstationary generalized autoregressive conditionally heteroskedastic (GARCH) models when constraints are imposed in the maximization…

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Limit Theorems for Estimating the Parameters of Differentiated Product Demand Systems

差异化产品需求系统参数估计的极限定理

We provide an asymptotic distribution theory for a class of generalized method of moments estimators that arise in the study of differentiated product markets when the number of observations is associated with the number of products within a given market. We allow for three sources of error: sampling error in estimating market shares, simulation error in approximating the shares predicted by the model, and the underlying model error. It is shown that the estimators are CAN…

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Estimating multiplicative and additive hazard functions by kernel methods

加性与乘性风险率函数的核估计

We propose new procedures for estimating the component functions in both additive and multiplicative nonparametric marker-dependent hazard models. We work with a full counting process framework that allows for left truncation and right censoring and time-varying covariates. Our procedures are based on kernel hazard estimation as developed by Nielsen and Linton and on the idea of marginal integration. We provide a central limit theorem for the marginal integration estimator.…

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EFFICIENT ESTIMATION OF GENERALIZED ADDITIVE NONPARAMETRIC REGRESSION MODELS

广义可加非参数回归模型的有效估计

We define new procedures for estimating generalized additive nonparametric regression models that are more efficient than the Linton and Härdle (1996, Biometrika 83, 529–540) integration-based method and achieve certain oracle bounds. We consider criterion functions based on the Linear exponential family, which includes many important special cases. We also consider the extension to multiple parameter models like the gamma distribution and to models for conditional…

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An Analysis of Transformations for Additive Nonparametric Regression

加性非参数回归中的因变量变换分析

We consider a nonparametric regression model with a parametric family of dependent variable transformations, one of which induces additive covariate effects. We estimate the additive regression effects using the integration method and estimate the transformation parameter from a profiled instrumental variable and pseudolikelihood criterion. The asymptotic distributions of the parameter and regression estimates are given. The practical performance is investigated via an…

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Kernel Estimation in a Nonparametric Marker Dependent Hazard Model

非参数标记依赖风险率模型中的核估计

We introduce a new kernel hazard estimator in a nonparametric model where the stochastic hazard depends on the current value of time and on the current value of a time dependent covariate or marker. We establish the pointwise and global convergence of our estimator.

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