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维多利亚时代后期英法经济增长转折：证据的重新评估AI 解读

Abstract The paper investigates the question of whether the trend rate of growth of GDP slowed down in Britain or France in the nineteenth century. We establish that real GDP belongs to the trend‐stationary process class of time‐series in each case rather than the difference‐stationary process and using Kalman filter techniques, analyse trends in a model incorporating time‐varying parameters without specifying breakpoints in advance. We find, contrary to the literature, that…

计量经济史研究：1971—1986年综述AI 解读

Abstract The paper selectively surveys recent quantitative work in economic history with special emphasis on research into unemployment in interwar Britain, the Habakkuk controversy, the Kuznets curve, the demographic transition and heights in history. It is shown that the field has advanced well beyond the routine applications of elementary microeconomics which characterized its early days. Considerably greater quantitative sophistication and a much wider coverage of…