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Count Roy model with finite mixtures

具有有限混合结构的计数 Roy 模型

Summary This paper develops the Finite Mixture Roy model for count variables and uses this semiparametric model to analyze the effect of supplemental Medigap private insurance on the demand for prescription drugs for the U.S. elderly unemployed Medicare population. The model is an extension of the Count Roy model, which produces unrealistic treatment effects when observed count patterns are consistent with finite mixtures. To estimate the numbers of components in the…

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Estimating Incentive and Selection Effects in the Medigap Insurance Market: An Application with Dirichlet Process Mixture Model

Medigap 保险市场的激励与选择效应:Dirichlet 过程混合模型应用

This paper presents an empirical study of endogenous treatment effects in the presence of heterogeneous responses. We estimate the incentive and selection effects of having prescription drug coverage on total drug expenditures using a sample from the Medicare Current Beneficiary Survey (MCBS). A Dirichlet process mixture (DPM) model is used to model the heterogeneity in treatment effects. Rather than estimating a finite mixture model with a fixed number of components, we…

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Bayesian analysis of the ordered probit model with endogenous selection

具有内生选择的有序 Probit 模型的贝叶斯分析

This paper presents a Bayesian analysis of an ordered probit model with endogenous selection. The model can be applied when analyzing ordered outcomes that depend on endogenous covariates that are discrete choice indicators modeled by a multinomial probit model. The model is illustrated by analyzing the effects of different types of medical insurance plans on the level of hospital utilization, allowing for potential endogeneity of insurance status. The estimation is…

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Bayesian analysis of the two‐part model with endogeneity: application to health care expenditure

含内生性的两部模型贝叶斯分析:医疗支出应用

Abstract This paper studies the effect of managed care on medical expenditure using a model in which the insurance status is assumed to be endogenous. Insurance plan choice is modeled through the multinomial probit model. The medical expenditure variable, the outcome of interest, has a significant proportion of zeros that are handled using the two‐part model, extended to handle endogenous insurance. The estimation approach is Bayesian, based on the Gibbs Sampler. The model…

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Simulated maximum likelihood estimation of multivariate mixed‐Poisson regression models, with application

多元混合泊松回归的模拟最大似然估计及应用

This paper proposes and implements simulated maximum likelihood estimation of bivariate count models with unrestricted correlation pattern of unobserved heterogeneity. The implementation incorporates both antithetic acceleration and adjustment for first-order simulation bias. Both the Monte Carlo simulation evidence and an application to health utilization data confirm that the method is reliable and feasible in data analysis.

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