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Joint Scale-Change Models for Recurrent Events and Failure Time

复发事件与失效时间的联合尺度变换模型

Recurrent event data arise frequently in various fields such as biomedical sciences, public health, engineering, and social sciences. In many instances, the observation of the recurrent event process can be stopped by the occurrence of a correlated failure event, such as treatment failure and death. In this article, we propose a joint scale-change model for the recurrent event process and the failure time, where a shared frailty variable is used to model the association…

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Nonparametric Benefit–Risk Assessment Using Marker Process in the Presence of a Terminal Event

存在终末事件时基于标志物过程的非参数获益风险评估

Benefit-risk assessment is a crucial step in medical decision process. In many biomedical studies, both longitudinal marker measurements and time to a terminal event serve as important endpoints for benefit-risk assessment. The effect of an intervention or a treatment on the longitudinal marker process, however, can be in conflict with its effect on the time to the terminal event. Thus, questions arise on how to evaluate treatment effects based on the two endpoints, for the…

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Evaluating Utility Measurement From Recurrent Marker Processes in the Presence of Competing Terminal Events

竞争性终止事件下重复标记过程的效用测量评估

Yifei Suna* & Mei-Cheng Wangaa Department of Biostatistics, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MDCONTACT Yifei Sun ysun26@jhu.edu Department of Biostatistics, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD 21205Color versions of one or more of the figures in the article can be found online at www.tandfonline.com/r/JASA.Supplementary materials for this article are available online. Please go to www.tandfonline.com/r/JASA.ABSTRACTIn follow-up…

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Semiparametric Modeling and Estimation of the Terminal Behavior of Recurrent Marker Processes Before Failure Events

带标记复发过程在失效事件前的终末行为:半参数建模与估计

Recurrent event processes with marker measurements are mostly and largely studied with forward time models starting from an initial event. Interestingly, the processes could exhibit important terminal behavior during a time period before occurrence of the failure event. A natural and direct way to study recurrent events prior to a failure event is to align the processes using the failure event as the time origin and to examine the terminal behavior by a backward time model.…

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On the dependence structure of bivariate recurrent event processes: inference and estimation

二元复发事件过程的依赖结构:推断与估计

Bivariate or multivariate recurrent event processes are often encountered in longitudinal studies in which more than one type of event is of interest. There has been much research on regression analysis for such data, but little has been done to measure the dependence between recurrent event processes. We propose a time-dependent measure, termed the rate ratio, to assess the local dependence between two types of recurrent event processes. We model the rate ratio as a…

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Analysis of Longitudinal Multivariate Outcome Data From Couples Cohort Studies: Application to HPV Transmission Dynamics

伴侣队列研究的纵向多变量结局分析:HPV传播动态应用

We consider a specific situation of correlated data where multiple outcomes are repeatedly measured on each member of a couple. Such multivariate longitudinal data from couples may exhibit multi-faceted correlations which can be further complicated if there are polygamous partnerships. An example is data from cohort studies on human papillomavirus (HPV) transmission dynamics in heterosexual couples. HPV is a common sexually transmitted disease with 14 known oncogenic types…

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Analysing panel count data with informative observation times

信息性观测时点下的面板计数数据分析

In this paper, we study panel count data with informative observation times. We assume nonparametric and semiparametric proportional rate models for the underlying event process, where the form of the baseline rate function is left unspecified and a subject-specific frailty variable inflates or deflates the rate function multiplicatively. The proposed models allow the event processes and observation times to be correlated through their connections with the unobserved…

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Joint Modeling and Estimation for Recurrent Event Processes and Failure Time Data

复发事件过程与失效时间数据的联合建模及估计

Recurrent event data are commonly encountered in longitudinal follow-up studies related to biomedical science, econometrics, reliability, and demography. In many studies, recurrent events serve as important measurements for evaluating disease progression, health deterioration, or insurance risk. When analyzing recurrent event data, an independent censoring condition is typically required for the construction of statistical methods. In some situations, however, the…

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Frequency of Recurrent Events at Failure Time

终止事件发生时的复发事件频次

Recurrent events arise in many longitudinal medical studies where time to a terminal event or failure is the primary endpoint. With incomplete follow-up data, the analysis of recurrent events is a challenge owing to their association with the failure. One specific quantity of interest rarely addressed in the statistical literature is the recurrence frequency at the failure time; an example is hospitalization frequency, which is often used as a rough measure of lifetime…

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Analyzing Recurrent Event Data With Informative Censoring

信息性删失下的重复事件数据分析

Recurrent event data are frequently encountered in longitudinal follow-up studies. In statistical literature, noninformative censoring is typically assumed when statistical methods and theory are developed for analyzing recurrent event data. In many applications, however, the observation of recurrent events could be terminated by informative dropouts or failure events, and it is unrealistic to assume that the censoring mechanism is independent of the recurrent event process.…

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Conditional Regression Analysis for Recurrence Time Data

复发事件时间数据的条件回归分析

Recurrence time data can be regarded as a specific type of correlated survival data in which recurrent event times of a subject are stochastically ordered. Given the ordinal nature of recurrence times, this article focuses on conditional regression analysis. A semiparametric hazards model, including the structural and episode-specific parameters, is proposed for recurrence time data. In this model the order of episodes serves as the stratification variable. Estimation of the…

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Conditional Regression Analysis for Recurrence Time Data

复发事件时间数据的条件回归分析

Recurrence time data can be regarded as a specific type of correlated survival data in which recurrent event times of a subject are stochastically ordered. Given the ordinal nature of recurrence times, this article focuses on conditional regression analysis. A semiparametric hazards model, including the structural and episode-specific parameters, is proposed for recurrence time data. In this model the order of episodes serves as the stratification variable. Estimation of the…

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Nonparametric Estimation of a Recurrent Survival Function

复发间隔生存函数的非参数估计

Recurrent event data are frequently encountered in studies with longitudinal designs. Let the recurrence time be the time between two successive recurrent events. Recurrence times can be treated as a type of correlated survival data in statistical analysis. In general, because of the ordinal nature of recurrence times, statistical methods that are appropriate for standard correlated survival data in marginal models may not be applicable to recurrence time data. Specifically,…

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Estimating the Occurrence Rate for Prevalent Survival Data in Competing Risks Models

竞争风险模型中现患生存数据的发生率估计

The problem of interest is the estimation of occurrence probabilities based on prevalent data in competing risks models. In the literature, the development of nonparametric methods has relied heavily on the independent competing risks assumption. The primary purpose of this article is to establish a statistical framework without excluding the possibility of dependence among competing risks. This is done through the use of crude hazard functions. The crude hazard functions…

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Nonparametric Estimation from Cross-Sectional Survival Data

横截面生存数据的非参数估计

In many follow-up studies survival data are often observed according to a cross-sectional sampling scheme. Data of this type are subject to left truncation in addition to the usual right censoring. A number of characteristics and properties of the product-limit estimate, for left-truncated and right-censored data, have been explored and found to be similar to those of the Kaplan-Meier estimate. Under the stationarity assumption, however, it is believed that an alternative…

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A Semiparametric Model for Randomly Truncated Data

随机截断数据的半参数模型

For randomly censored data, it is known that the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) of the survival curve is not affected by parametric assumption on the censoring variable. The Kaplan-Meier (1958) estimate is the MLE for both nonparametric and semiparametric models. For randomly truncated data, the truncation product-limit estimate is the MLE for nonparametric models. This is not the case if the truncation mechanism is parameterized, however. Specifically, let X be a generic…

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A note on the product-limit estimator under right censoring and left truncation

In many applications involving follow-up studies, individuals' lifetimes may be subject to left truncation in addition to the usual right censoring. Here we consider the product-limit estimator of the survival curve S or an appropriate conditional version of S. The asymptotic behaviour of the estimator is briefly described together with an example.

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Asymptotic Properties of the Product Limit Estimate Under Random Truncation

随机截断下乘积极限估计量的渐近性质

Many authors have considered the problem of estimating a distribution function when the observed data is subject to random truncation. A prominent role is played by the product limit estimator, which is the analogue of the Kaplan-Meier estimator of a distribution function under random censoring. Wang and Jewell (1985) and Woodroofe (1985) independently proved consistency results for this product limit estimator and showed weak convergence to a Gaussian process. Both papers…

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