Bayes Linear Estimators of the Intensity Function of the Nonstationary Poisson Process
非平稳泊松过程强度函数的贝叶斯线性估计
A Bayesian approach is taken to the problem of estimating the intensity function of a nonstationary Poisson process. The intensity function, Λ(t), − T < t < T, is a priori a second-order stochastic process. Estimators are found which minimize among, respectively, the class of step functions, the class of moving averages, and a class of linear estimators. An approximation for large T to the last estimator is found. These estimators are compared in a numerical example…