Forecasting GDP in Europe with textual data
利用文本数据预测欧洲 GDP
Summary We evaluate the informational content of news‐based sentiment indicators for forecasting gross domestic product (GDP) and other macroeconomic variables of the five major European economies. Our dataset includes over 27 million articles for 26 major newspapers in five different languages. The evidence indicates that these sentiment indicators are significant predictors to forecast macroeconomic variables and their predictive content is robust to controlling for other…