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Structural classification of locally stationary time series based on second-order characteristics

基于二阶特征的局部平稳时间序列结构分类

Abstract Time series classification is crucial for numerous scientific and engineering applications. In this article, we present a numerically efficient, practically competitive, and theoretically rigorous classification method for distinguishing between two classes of locally stationary time series based on their time-domain, second-order characteristics. Our approach builds on the autoregressive approximation for locally stationary time series, imposes no requirement on…

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Generalized point process additive models

广义点过程可加模型

Abstract In this article, we propose a generalized point process additive model with a scalar response and high-dimensional point process predictors. Our proposal is built upon four key components: a realization of a point process as a random counting measure, a generalized point process regression framework, a new kernel function for random measure through kernel embedding, and a suite of low-dimensional structures including the additive model, reduced basis representation,…

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Multivariate dynamic mediation analysis under a reinforcement learning framework

强化学习框架下的多变量动态中介分析

Mediation analysis is an important analytic tool commonly used in a broad range of scientific applications. In this article, we study the problem of mediation analysis when there are multivariate and conditionally dependent mediators, and when the variables are observed over multiple time points. The problem is challenging, because the effect of a mediator involves not only the path from the treatment to this mediator itself at the current time point, but also all possible…

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Image response regression via deep neural networks

基于深度神经网络的图像响应回归

Abstract Delineating associations between images and covariates is a central aim of imaging studies. To tackle this problem, we propose a novel non-parametric approach in the framework of spatially varying coefficient models, where the spatially varying functions are estimated through deep neural networks. Our method incorporates spatial smoothness, handles subject heterogeneity, and provides straightforward interpretations. It is also highly flexible and accurate, making it…

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Testing for the Markov property in time series via deep conditional generative learning

利用深度条件生成学习检验时间序列的马尔可夫性

Abstract The Markov property is widely imposed in analysis of time series data. Correspondingly, testing the Markov property, and relatedly, inferring the order of a Markov model, are of paramount importance. In this article, we propose a nonparametric test for the Markov property in high-dimensional time series via deep conditional generative learning. We also apply the test sequentially to determine the order of the Markov model. We show that the test controls the type-I…

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Testing Directed Acyclic Graph via Structural, Supervised and Generative Adversarial Learning

结合结构学习、监督学习与生成对抗学习检验有向无环图

In this article, we propose a new hypothesis testing method for directed acyclic graph (DAG). While there is a rich class of DAG estimation methods, there is a relative paucity of DAG inference solutions. Moreover, the existing methods often impose some specific model structures such as linear models or additive models, and assume independent data observations. Our proposed test instead allows the associations among the random variables to be nonlinear and the data to be…

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Generalized Liquid Association Analysis for Multimodal Data Integration

用于多模态数据整合的广义液态关联分析

Multimodal data are now prevailing in scientific research. One of the central questions in multimodal integrative analysis is to understand how two data modalities associate and interact with each other given another modality or demographic variables. The problem can be formulated as studying the associations among three sets of random variables, a question that has received relatively less attention in the literature. In this article, we propose a novel generalized liquid…

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Kernel Knockoffs Selection for Nonparametric Additive Models

非参数加性模型的核 Knockoffs 变量选择

Thanks to its fine balance between model flexibility and interpretability, the nonparametric additive model has been widely used, and variable selection for this type of model has been frequently studied. However, none of the existing solutions can control the false discovery rate (FDR) unless the sample size tends to infinity. The knockoff framework is a recent proposal that can address this issue, but few knockoff solutions are directly applicable to nonparametric models.…

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Orthogonalized Kernel Debiased Machine Learning for Multimodal Data Analysis

用于多模态数据分析的正交化核去偏机器学习

Multimodal imaging has transformed neuroscience research. While it presents unprecedented opportunities, it also imposes serious challenges. Particularly, it is difficult to combine the merits of the interpretability attributed to a simple association model with the flexibility achieved by a highly adaptive nonlinear model. In this article, we propose an orthogonalized kernel debiased machine learning approach, which is built upon the Neyman orthogonality and a form of…

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Nonparametric Functional Graphical Modeling Through Functional Additive Regression Operator

基于函数型加性回归算子的非参数函数图模型

In this article, we develop a nonparametric graphical model for multivariate random functions. Most existing graphical models are restricted by the assumptions of multivariate Gaussian or copula Gaussian distributions, which also imply linear relations among the random variables or functions on different nodes. We relax those assumptions by building our graphical model based on a new statistical object—the functional additive regression operator. By carrying out regression…

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Multivariate Temporal Point Process Regression

多元时间点过程回归

Point process modeling is gaining increasing attention, as point process type data are emerging in a large variety of scientific applications. In this article, motivated by a neuronal spike trains study, we propose a novel point process regression model, where both the response and the predictor can be a high-dimensional point process. We model the predictor effects through the conditional intensities using a set of basis transferring functions in a convolutional fashion. We…

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Partially Observed Dynamic Tensor Response Regression

部分观测动态张量响应回归

In modern data science, dynamic tensor data prevail in numerous applications. An important task is to characterize the relationship between dynamic tensor datasets and external covariates. However, the tensor data are often only partially observed, rendering many existing methods inapplicable. In this article, we develop a regression model with a partially observed dynamic tensor as the response and external covariates as the predictor. We introduce the low-rankness,…

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Conditional Functional Graphical Models

条件函数型图模型

Graphical modeling of multivariate functional data is becoming increasingly important in a wide variety of applications. The changes of graph structure can often be attributed to external variables, such as the diagnosis status or time, the latter of which gives rise to the problem of dynamic graphical modeling. Most existing methods focus on estimating the graph by aggregating samples, but largely ignore the subject-level heterogeneity due to the external variables. In this…

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Integrative Factor Regression and Its Inference for Multimodal Data Analysis

多模态数据的整合因子回归及其推断

Multimodal data, where different types of data are collected from the same subjects, are fast emerging in a large variety of scientific applications. Factor analysis is commonly used in integrative analysis of multimodal data, and is particularly useful to overcome the curse of high dimensionality and high correlations. However, there is little work on statistical inference for factor analysis based supervised modeling of multimodal data. In this article, we consider an…

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Kernel Ordinary Differential Equations

核常微分方程

Ordinary differential equation (ODE) is widely used in modeling biological and physical processes in science. In this article, we propose a new reproducing kernel-based approach for estimation and inference of ODE given noisy observations. We do not assume the functional forms in ODE to be known, or restrict them to be linear or additive, and we allow pairwise interactions. We perform sparse estimation to select individual functionals, and construct confidence intervals for…

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Testing Mediation Effects Using Logic of Boolean Matrices

利用布尔矩阵逻辑检验中介效应

A central question in high-dimensional mediation analysis is to infer the significance of individual mediators. The main challenge is that the total number of potential paths that go through any mediator is super-exponential in the number of mediators. Most existing mediation inference solutions either explicitly impose that the mediators are conditionally independent given the exposure, or ignore any potential directed paths among the mediators. In this article, we propose…

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Functional Structural Equation Model

函数型结构方程模型

Abstract In this article, we introduce a functional structural equation model for estimating directional relations from multivariate functional data. We decouple the estimation into two major steps: directional order determination and selection through sparse functional regression. We first propose a score function at the linear operator level, and show that its minimization can recover the true directional order when the relation between each function and its parental…

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Functional sufficient dimension reduction through average Fréchet derivatives

基于平均 Fréchet 导数的函数型充分降维

Sufficient dimension reduction (SDR) embodies a family of methods that aim for reduction of dimensionality without loss of information in a regression setting. In this article, we propose a new method for nonparametric function-on-function SDR, where both the response and the predictor are a function. We first develop the notions of functional central mean subspace and functional central subspace, which form the population targets of our functional SDR. We then introduce an…

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Mixed-Effect Time-Varying Network Model and Application in Brain Connectivity Analysis

混合效应时变网络模型及其在脑连接分析中的应用

Time-varying networks are fast emerging in a wide range of scientific and business applications. Most existing dynamic network models are limited to a single-subject and discrete-time setting. In this article, we propose a mixed-effect network model that characterizes the continuous time-varying behavior of the network at the population level, meanwhile taking into account both the individual subject variability as well as the prior module information. We develop a multistep…

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Simultaneous Covariance Inference for Multimodal Integrative Analysis

多模态整合分析中的协方差同时推断

Multimodal integrative analysis fuses different types of data collected on the same set of experimental subjects. It is becoming a norm in many branches of scientific research, such as multi-omics and multimodal neuroimaging analysis. In this article, we address the problem of simultaneous covariance inference of associations between multiple modalities, which is of a vital interest in multimodal integrative analysis. Recognizing that there are few readily available…

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On post dimension reduction statistical inference

降维后的统计推断

The methodologies of sufficient dimension reduction have undergone extensive developments in the past three decades. However, there has been a lack of systematic and rigorous development of post dimension reduction inference, which has seriously hindered its applications. The current common practice is to treat the estimated sufficient predictors as the true predictors and use them as the starting point of the downstream statistical inference. However, this naive inference…

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Dynamic Tensor Clustering

动态张量聚类

Dynamic tensor data are becoming prevalent in numerous applications. Existing tensor clustering methods either fail to account for the dynamic nature of the data, or are inapplicable to a general-order tensor. There is also a gap between statistical guarantee and computational efficiency for existing tensor clustering solutions. In this article, we propose a new dynamic tensor clustering method that works for a general-order dynamic tensor, and enjoys both strong statistical…

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Multiple Matrix Gaussian Graphs Estimation

多个矩阵高斯图的估计

Summary Matrix-valued data, where the sampling unit is a matrix consisting of rows and columns of measurements, are emerging in numerous scientific and business applications. Matrix Gaussian graphical models are a useful tool to characterize the conditional dependence structure of rows and columns. We employ non-convex penalization to tackle the estimation of multiple graphs from matrix-valued data under a matrix normal distribution. We propose a highly efficient non-convex…

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Parsimonious Tensor Response Regression

简约张量响应回归

Aiming at abundant scientific and engineering data with not only high dimensionality but also complex structure, we study the regression problem with a multidimensional array (tensor) response and a vector predictor. Applications include, among others, comparing tensor images across groups after adjusting for additional covariates, which is of central interest in neuroimaging analysis. We propose parsimonious tensor response regression adopting a generalized sparsity…

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