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The Importance of Assessing Measurement Reliability in Multivariate Regression

多元回归中评估测量可靠性的重要性

In many contexts involving multivariate linear regression models, some or all of the independent (predictor) variables are measured with error. It is argued that if the goal is to assess the relationship of the dependent variables to the true predictor variables, then it is important to determine the reliability matrix Λ of the measurement X of the vector of true predictors. If Λ is singular, then the slope matrix B is not identifiable. If Λ is nearly singular, then B cannot…

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A note on the analysis of familial data

家庭数据分析的一则说明

Because families have varying numbers of offspring, the maximum likelihood estimators of the interclass, or parent-offspring, and intraclass, or offspring-offspring, correlations are difficult to compute (Srivastava, 1984). For this reason, alternative estimators have been proposed, which are not necessarily asymptotically efficient. However, maximum likelihood estimators of the inter- and intraclass correlations in families of constant size can be obtained in closed form,…

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The Nonexistence of 100$(1 - \alpha)$% Confidence Sets of Finite Expected Diameter in Errors-in-Variables and Related Models

测量误差及相关模型中有限期望直径置信集的不存在性

Confidence intervals are widely used in statistical practice as indicators of precision for related point estimators or as estimators in their own right. In the present paper it is shown that for some models, including most linear and nonlinear errors-in-variables regression models, and for certain estimation problems arising in the context of classical linear models, such as the inverse regression problem, it is impossible to construct confidence intervals for key…

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The Limiting Distribution of Least Squares in an Errors-in-Variables Regression Model

测量误差回归模型中最小二乘估计的极限分布

It is well-known that the ordinary least squares (OLS) estimator $\hat{\beta}$ of the slope and intercept parameters $\beta$ in a linear regression model with errors of measurement for some of the independent variables (predictors) is inconsistent. However, Gallo (1982) has shown that certain linear combinations of $\beta$. In this paper, it is shown that under reasonable regularity conditions such linear combinations of $\hat{\beta}$ are (jointly) asymptotically normally…

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Minimax Estimators of a Normal Mean Vector for Arbitrary Quadratic Loss and Unknown Covariance Matrix

未知协方差与一般二次损失下正态均值向量的极小极大估计

The problem of finding classes of estimators which dominate the usual estimator $X$ of the mean vector $\mu$ of a $p$-variate normal distribution $(p \geq 3)$ under general quadratic loss is analytically difficult in cases where the covariance matrix is unknown. Estimators of $\mu$ in this case depend upon $X$ and an independent Wishart matrix $W$. In the present paper, integration-by-parts methods for both the multivariate normal and Wishart distributions are combined to…

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Comparison of Least Squares and Errors-in-Variables Regression, with Special Reference to Randomized Analysis of Covariance

最小二乘与误差变量回归的比较:聚焦随机化协方差分析

In an errors-in-variables regression model, the least squares estimate is generally inconsistent for the complete regression parameter but can be consistent for certain linear combinations of this parameter. We explore the conjecture that, when the least squares estimate is consistent for a linear combination of the regression parameter, it will be preferred to an errors-in-variables estimate, at least asymptotically. The conjecture is false, in general, but it is true for…

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Exact Power of Goodness-of-Fit Tests of Kolmogorov Type for Discontinuous Distributions

不连续分布下 Kolmogorov 型拟合优度检验的精确功效

Goodness-of-fit tests of Kolmogorov type reject a null hypothesis H 0 : F(x) = F*(x) whenever the graph of the sample cumulative distribution function crosses one of two boundary functions, G 1(x), G 2(x). The best-known example of a test of this type is the Kolmogorov—Smirnov test D. When the true cumulative distribution function F(x) is continuous, a number of algorithms are available for calculating the exact powers of such tests. In this article it is shown that such…

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Exact Power of Goodness-of-Fit Tests of Kolmogorov Type for Discontinuous Distributions

不连续分布下 Kolmogorov 型拟合优度检验的精确功效

Goodness-of-fit tests of Kolmogorov type reject a null hypothesis H 0 : F(x) = F*(x) whenever the graph of the sample cumulative distribution function crosses one of two boundary functions, G 1(x), G 2(x). The best-known example of a test of this type is the Kolmogorov—Smirnov test D. When the true cumulative distribution function F(x) is continuous, a number of algorithms are available for calculating the exact powers of such tests. In this article it is shown that such…

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A note on G. R. Dolby's unreplicated ultrastructural model

It is demonstrated that maximum likelihood estimators exist for the intercept, slope and unknown error variance in Dolby's (1976) unreplicated ultrastructural model with known error variance ratio even when the ratio of the variability of the measured variables to the variability of the measurement errors is unknown. This corrects an assertion in Dolby's paper. Patefield's (1978) adjusted maximum likelihood estimators for this model are shown to be strongly consistent and…

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Estimation in a Multivariate "Errors in Variables" Regression Model: Large Sample Results

多元变量含误差回归模型的估计:大样本结果

In a multivariate "errors in variables" regression model, the unknown mean vectors $\mathbf{u}_{1i}: p \times 1, \mathbf{u}_{2i}: r \times 1$ of the vector observations $\mathbf{x}_{1i}, \mathbf{x}_{2i}$, rather than the observations themselves, are assumed to follow the linear relation: $\mathbf{u}_{2i} = \alpha + B\mathbf{u}_{1i}, i = 1,2,\cdots, n$. It is further assumed that the random errors $\mathbf{e}_i = \mathbf{x}_i - \mathbf{u}_i, \mathbf{x}'_i = (\mathbf{x}'_{1i}, \mathbf{x}'_{2i}), \mathbf{u}'_i = (\mathbf{u}'_{1i}, \mathbf{u}'_{2i})$…

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Minimax Estimation of a Normal Mean Vector When the Covariance Matrix is Unknown

协方差矩阵未知时正态均值向量的极小极大估计

Let $X$ be an observation from a $p$-variate normal distribution $(p \geqslant 3)$ with mean vector $\theta$ and unknown positive definite covariance matrix $\sum$. We wish to estimate $\theta$ under the quadratic loss $L(\delta; \theta, \sum) = \lbrack\mathrm{tr}(Q\sum)\rbrack^{-1}(\delta - \theta)'Q(\delta - \theta)$, where $Q$ is a known positive definite matrix. Estimators of the following form are considered: $\delta_{k, h}(X, W) = \lbrack I - kh(X'W^{-1}X)\lambda_1(QW/n^\ast)Q^{-1}W^{-1}\rbrack X,$…

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Estimating the Mean of a Normal Distribution with Known Coefficient of Variation

已知变异系数时正态分布均值的估计

Estimation of the mean θ of a normal distribution N(θ, aθ2) with known coefficient of variation a 1/2 is treated as a decision problem with squared-error loss. It is shown that all estimators linear in the sample mean and sample standard deviation s, as well as the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), are dominated in risk by the admissible, minimum risk, scale equivariant estimator . A class of Bayes estimators against inverted-gamma priors is constructed, and shown to…

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A Canonical Representation for the Noncentral Wishart Distribution Useful for Simulation

用于模拟的非中心 Wishart 分布典范表示

This article provides a simple distributional representation for the noncentral Wishart distribution most useful when the noncentrality matrix is of less than full rank. It is shown that the representation leads to a method for simulating a noncentral Wishart matrix that has advantages over a procedure currently used.

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A Canonical Representation for the Noncentral Wishart Distribution Useful for Simulation

便于模拟的非中心 Wishart 分布典范表示

This article provides a simple distributional representation for the noncentral Wishart distribution most useful when the noncentrality matrix is of less than full rank. It is shown that the representation leads to a method for simulating a noncentral Wishart matrix that has advantages over a procedure currently used.

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On Asymptotically Optimal Sequential Bayes Interval Estimation Procedures

渐近最优的序贯贝叶斯区间估计程序

A theory of sequential Bayes interval estimation procedures for a single parameter is developed for the case where the loss for using an interval $I$ is a linear combination of the length of $I$, the indicator of noncoverage of $I$, and the number of observations taken. A class of stopping rules $\{t(c): c > 0\}$ is shown to be asymptotically pointwise optimal (A.P.O.) and asymptotically optimal (A.O.) for the confidence interval problem as the cost $c$ per observation tends…

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Approximating Circulant Quadratic Forms in Jointly Stationary Gaussian Time Series

联合平稳高斯时间序列中循环二次型的近似

Let $\{X(t), t = 0, \pm 1, \pm 2,\cdots\}$ be a $p$-dimensional, zero mean, stationary Gaussian time series with matrix-valued covariance function $R(u) = (r_{jk}(u)), u = 0, \pm 1, \pm 2, \cdots; j, k = 1, 2,\cdots, p$. Let $F(\omega)$ be the spectral density matrix of the time series (if $F(\omega)$ exists), and assume that $F(\omega)$ is positive definite for all $\omega\in(0, 2\pi\rbrack$. Let $\hat{F}_X(\omega_l)$ be an estimator of $F(\omega_l)$ formed by averaging $(2n + 1)$…

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On a New Class of Bounds for the Distribution of Quadratic Forms in Normal Variates

正态变量二次型分布的一类新界

Except in special cases, the distribution of a quadratic form Q in the normal random vector y cannot be expressed in closed form. However, bounds on the cumulative distribution of Q have been obtained by many authors. This article derives a new class of such bounds by means of a certain mixture representation for the distribution of Q. It is shown how the results apply to the problem of finding the distribution of ratios of independent quadratic forms in normal variates.

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On a New Class of Bounds for the Distribution of Quadratic Forms in Normal Variates

正态变量二次型分布的一类新界

Except in special cases, the distribution of a quadratic form Q in the normal random vector y cannot be expressed in closed form. However, bounds on the cumulative distribution of Q have been obtained by many authors. This article derives a new class of such bounds by means of a certain mixture representation for the distribution of Q. It is shown how the results apply to the problem of finding the distribution of ratios of independent quadratic forms in normal variates.

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On Testing a Set of Correlation Coefficients for Equality: Some Asymptotic Results

相关系数集合相等性检验的若干渐近结果

This note considers tests of the hypothesis H that the off-diagonal elements of a correlation matrix are equal. A test statistic T3 proposed by Aitkin, Nelson & Reinfurt (1968) is shown to be asymptotically equivalent, under H, to a member of a certain class of quadratic forms in the sample correlations. The asymptotic null distribution of each member of this class is obtained, the distribution of T3 and of statistics proposed by other authors following as a special case.…

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