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Statistical Inference for Mediation Models with High Dimensional Exposures and Mediators

高维暴露与高维中介模型的统计推断

High-dimensional mediation analysis has gained increasing interest in various fields, particularly in genetic and medical research. Compared with existing works that focus mainly on high-dimensional mediators, this paper advocates a new framework of Partial Regularization-based Inference for Mediation Effects (PRIME) when both exposures and mediators are high-dimensional. Estimated direct and indirect effects are established using a group-wise partially penalized least…

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Development of Public Health Policy by Digital Twin Microsimulation and Q-learning: A COVID-19 Booster Case Study

利用数字孪生微观模拟与 Q 学习制定公共卫生政策:新冠加强针案例

The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted the urgent need for effective vaccine policies, but traditional clinical trials often lack sufficient data to capture the diverse population characteristics necessary for comprehensive public health strategies. Ethical concerns around randomized trials during a pandemic further complicate policy development for public health. Reinforcement Learning (RL) offers a promising alternative for vaccine policy development. However, direct online RL…

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Scalable Bayesian Image-on-Scalar Regression for Population-Scale Neuroimaging Data Analysis

面向大规模神经影像数据的可扩展贝叶斯图像对标量回归

Bayesian Image-on-Scalar Regression (ISR) provides flexible, uncertainty-aware neuroimaging analysis. However, applying ISR to large-scale datasets such as the UK Biobank is challenging due to intensive computational demands and the need to handle subject-specific brain masks rather than a common mask. We propose a novel Bayesian ISR model that scales efficiently while accommodating these inconsistent masks. Our method leverages Gaussian process priors with salience area…

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Scalable Bayesian inference for heat kernel Gaussian processes on manifolds

流形上热核高斯过程的可扩展贝叶斯推断

Abstract We establish a scalable manifold learning method and theory, motivated by the problem of estimating functional magnetic resonance imaging activation manifolds in the Human Connectome Project. Our primary contribution is the development of an efficient estimation technique for heat kernel Gaussian processes in the exponential family model. This approach handles large sample sizes n, preserves the intrinsic geometry of data, and significantly reduces computational…

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Bayesian Image Mediation Analysis

贝叶斯图像中介分析

Mediation analysis aims to separate the indirect effect through mediators from the direct effect of the exposure on the outcome. It is challenging to perform mediation analysis with neuroimaging data which involves high dimensionality, complex spatial correlations, sparse activation patterns and relatively low signal-to-noise ratio. To address these issues, we develop a new spatially varying coefficient structural equation model for Bayesian Image Mediation Analysis (BIMA).…

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Bayesian Signal Matching for Transfer Learning in ERP-Based Brain Computer Interface

ERP 脑机接口迁移学习中的贝叶斯信号匹配

An Event-Related Potential (ERP)-based Brain-Computer Interface (BCI) Speller System assists people with disabilities to communicate by decoding electroencephalogram (EEG) signals. A P300-ERP embedded in EEG signals arises in response to a rare, but relevant event (target) among a series of irrelevant events (non-target). Different machine learning methods have constructed binary classifiers to detect target events, known as calibration. The existing calibration strategy…

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Bayesian Inference on Brain-Computer Interfaces via GLASS

通过 GLASS 进行脑机接口的贝叶斯推断

Brain-computer interfaces (BCIs), particularly the P300 BCI, facilitate direct communication between the brain and computers. The fundamental statistical problem in P300 BCIs lies in classifying target and non-target stimuli based on electroencephalogram (EEG) signals. However, the low signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) and complex spatial/temporal correlations of EEG signals present challenges in modeling and computation, especially for individuals with severe physical…

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Statistical Inferences for Complex Dependence of Multimodal Imaging Data

多模态影像数据复杂依赖结构的统计推断

Statistical analysis of multimodal imaging data is a challenging task, since the data involves high-dimensionality, strong spatial correlations and complex data structures. In this paper, we propose rigorous statistical testing procedures for making inferences on the complex dependence of multimodal imaging data. Motivated by the analysis of multitask fMRI data in the Human Connectome Project (HCP) study, we particularly address three hypothesis testing problems: (a) testing…

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Image response regression via deep neural networks

基于深度神经网络的图像响应回归

Abstract Delineating associations between images and covariates is a central aim of imaging studies. To tackle this problem, we propose a novel non-parametric approach in the framework of spatially varying coefficient models, where the spatially varying functions are estimated through deep neural networks. Our method incorporates spatial smoothness, handles subject heterogeneity, and provides straightforward interpretations. It is also highly flexible and accurate, making it…

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Long monthly temperature series and the Vector Seasonal Shifting Mean and Covariance Autoregressive model

长期月度温度序列与向量季节均值和协方差变动自回归模型

We consider a vector version of the Shifting Seasonal Mean Autoregressive model. The model is used for describing dynamic behaviour of and contemporaneous dependence between a number of long monthly temperature series for 20 cities in Europe, extending from the second half of the 18th century until mid-2010s. The results indicate strong warming in the winter months, February excluded, and cooling followed by warming during the summer months. Error variances are mostly…

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Robust High-Dimensional Regression with Coefficient Thresholding and Its Application to Imaging Data Analysis

系数阈值化的稳健高维回归及影像数据应用

It is important to develop statistical techniques to analyze high-dimensional data in the presence of both complex dependence and possible heavy tails and outliers in real-world applications such as imaging data analyses. We propose a new robust high-dimensional regression with coefficient thresholding, in which an efficient nonconvex estimation procedure is proposed through a thresholding function and the robust Huber loss. The proposed regularization method accounts for…

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Bayesian Spatial Blind Source Separation via the Thresholded Gaussian Process

通过阈值化高斯过程进行贝叶斯空间盲源分离

Blind source separation (BSS) aims to separate latent source signals from their mixtures. For spatially dependent signals in high dimensional and large-scale data, such as neuroimaging, most existing BSS methods do not take into account the spatial dependence and the sparsity of the latent source signals. To address these major limitations, we propose a Bayesian spatial blind source separation (BSP-BSS) approach for neuroimaging data analysis. We assume the expectation of…

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Bayesian Inferences on Neural Activity in EEG-Based Brain-Computer Interface

脑电脑机接口中神经活动的贝叶斯推断

A brain-computer interface (BCI) is a system that translates brain activity into commands to operate technology. A common design for an electroencephalogram (EEG) BCI relies on the classification of the P300 event-related potential (ERP), which is a response elicited by the rare occurrence of target stimuli among common non-target stimuli. Few existing ERP classifiers directly explore the underlying mechanism of the neural activity. To this end, we perform a novel Bayesian…

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Scalar-on-image regression via the soft-thresholded Gaussian process

基于软阈值高斯过程的标量对图像回归

This work concerns spatial variable selection for scalar-on-image regression. We propose a new class of Bayesian nonparametric models and develop an efficient posterior computational aigorithm. The proposed soft-thresholded Gaussian process provides large prior support over the class of piecewise-smooth, sparse, and continuous spatially-varying regression coefficient functions. In addition, under some mild regularity conditions the soft-thresholded Gaussian proess prior…

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Partition-based ultrahigh-dimensional variable screening

基于分组的超高维变量筛选

Traditional variable selection methods are compromised by overlooking useful information on covariates with similar functionality or spatial proximity, and by treating each covariate independently. Leveraging prior grouping information on covariates, we propose partition-based screening methods for ultrahigh-dimensional variables in the framework of generalized linear models. We show that partition-based screening exhibits the sure screening property with a vanishing false…

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Meta Analysis of Functional Neuroimaging Data via Bayesian Spatial Point Processes

基于贝叶斯空间点过程的功能神经影像元分析

As the discipline of functional neuroimaging grows there is an increasing interest in meta analysis of brain imaging studies. A typical neuroimaging meta analysis collects peak activation coordinates (foci) from several studies and identifies areas of consistent activation. Most imaging meta analysis methods only produce null hypothesis inferences and do not provide an interpretable fitted model. To overcome these limitations, we propose a Bayesian spatial hierarchical model…

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