Probabilistic Sensitivity Analysis of Complex Models: A Bayesian Approach
复杂模型的概率敏感性分析：贝叶斯方法
Summary In many areas of science and technology, mathematical models are built to simulate complex real world phenomena. Such models are typically implemented in large computer programs and are also very complex, such that the way that the model responds to changes in its inputs is not transparent. Sensitivity analysis is concerned with understanding how changes in the model inputs influence the outputs. This may be motivated simply by a wish to understand the implications…