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A Bayesian Analysis of Body Mass Index Data From Small Domains Under Nonignorable Nonresponse and Selection

不可忽略无应答与抽样选择下小域 BMI 数据的贝叶斯分析

Here we analyze body mass index (BMI) data for children and adolescents from the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES III). Because of the lack of BMI values for a considerable number of the children and adolescents, and the differential probabilities of selection of these individuals, serious nonresponse and selection bias in inference can be present. To analyze the NHANES III BMI data, a nonignorable nonresponse model has been proposed to estimate…

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Forecasting Cause-Age Specific Mortality Using Two Random Processes

利用两个随机过程预测死因—年龄特定死亡人数

Mortality forecasts are critical information for assessing the health of a population and are necessary for making informed decisions about how best to direct health-related resources and activities. Timeliness in making health statistics available is crucial to identify and address current health problems. Being motivated to meet these needs, we propose a method to forecast the number of cause-age specific deaths through a two random processes model. Unlike the previous…

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Hierarchical Bayesian Nonresponse Models for Binary Data From Small Areas With Uncertainty About Ignorability

可忽略性不确定下的小区域二元数据分层贝叶斯无响应模型

In the National Crime Survey (NCS), data on victimization can be poststratified into domains determined by urbanization, type of place, and poverty level. There is much difficulty in the analysis of binary data with substantial nonresponse. We consider three Bayesian hierarchical models for binary nonresponse data, like those from the NCS, which are clustered within a number of domains or areas. As in small area estimation, one key feature is that each model “borrows…

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One-Level Rotation Design Balanced on Time in Monthly Sample and in Rotation Group

月度样本与轮换组中按访谈时间双向平衡的单层轮换设计

We introduce the two-way balanced one-level rotation design for which balancing is done on interview time in sample and in rotation group and provide the necessary and sufficient condition for the two-way balancing and an algorithm to construct such design. Using this design, we obtain generalized composite estimators (GCE) and the minimum variance linear unbiased estimator (MVLUE). We then calculate their variance and mean squared error (MSE) when there exist two types of…

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