Forecasting with Limited Information: ARIMA Models of the Trailer on Flatcar Transportation Market
信息有限条件下的预测:平车载拖车运输市场的 ARIMA 模型
This paper evaluates the appropriateness of autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) time-series models for forecasting in information-scarce environments. Such environments are defined and a specific transportation sector example examined. It is shown that ARIMA models adequately characterize economic activity in this example. ARIMA model forecasts are seen to dominate alternative models, and to provide information required for market efficiency. Specific attention…