From LATE to ATE: A Bayesian approach
从局部平均处理效应到平均处理效应：贝叶斯方法
We develop a Bayesian model that produces a posterior distribution of the marginal treatment effect (MTE) function. The method provides researchers with a principled way to extrapolate from the observed moments using flexible assumptions, thereby allowing researchers to generate plausible ranges of important and potentially policy-relevant quantities of interest. We then use the model to propose a natural decomposition of the posterior variance into “statistical…