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On minimax optimality of sparse Bayes predictive density estimates

稀疏贝叶斯预测密度估计的极小极大最优性

We study predictive density estimation under Kullback–Leibler loss in ℓ0-sparse Gaussian sequence models. We propose proper Bayes predictive density estimates and establish asymptotic minimaxity in sparse models. Fundamental for this is a new risk decomposition for sparse, or spike-and-slab priors. A surprise is the existence of a phase transition in the future-to-past variance ratio r. For r

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Testing in high-dimensional spiked models

高维尖峰模型中的假设检验

We consider the five classes of multivariate statistical problems identified by James (Ann. Math. Stat. 35 (1964) 475–501), which together cover much of classical multivariate analysis, plus a simpler limiting case, symmetric matrix denoising. Each of James’ problems involves the eigenvalues of $E^{-1}H$ where $H$ and $E$ are proportional to high-dimensional Wishart matrices. Under the null hypothesis, both Wisharts are central with identity covariance. Under the…

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Eigenvalue distributions of variance components estimators in high-dimensional random effects models

高维随机效应模型中方差分量估计量的特征值分布

We study the spectra of MANOVA estimators for variance component covariance matrices in multivariate random effects models. When the dimensionality of the observations is large and comparable to the number of realizations of each random effect, we show that the empirical spectra of such estimators are well-approximated by deterministic laws. The Stieltjes transforms of these laws are characterized by systems of fixed-point equations, which are numerically solvable by a…

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Exact minimax estimation of the predictive density in sparse Gaussian models

稀疏高斯模型中预测密度的精确极小极大估计

We consider estimating the predictive density under Kullback-Leibler loss in an ℓ_{0} sparse Gaussian sequence model. Explicit expressions of the first order minimax risk along with its exact constant, asymptotically least favorable priors and optimal predictive density estimates are derived. Compared to the sparse recovery results involving point estimation of the normal mean, new decision theoretic phenomena are seen. Suboptimal performance of the class of plug-in density…

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Minimax bounds for sparse PCA with noisy high-dimensional data

含噪高维数据中稀疏主成分分析的极小极大界

We study the problem of estimating the leading eigenvectors of a high-dimensional population covariance matrix based on independent Gaussian observations. We establish a lower bound on the minimax risk of estimators under the $l_{2}$ loss, in the joint limit as dimension and sample size increase to infinity, under various models of sparsity for the population eigenvectors. The lower bound on the risk points to the existence of different regimes of sparsity of the…

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On Consistency and Sparsity for Principal Components Analysis in High Dimensions

高维主成分分析的一致性与稀疏性

Principal components analysis (PCA) is a classic method for the reduction of dimensionality of data in the form of n observations (or cases) of a vector with p variables. Contemporary datasets often have p comparable with or even much larger than n. Our main assertions, in such settings, are (a) that some initial reduction in dimensionality is desirable before applying any PCA-type search for principal modes, and (b) the initial reduction in dimensionality is best achieved…

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Multivariate analysis and Jacobi ensembles: Largest eigenvalue, Tracy–Widom limits and rates of convergence

多元分析与 Jacobi 系综:最大特征值、Tracy–Widom 极限及收敛速率

Let A and B be independent, central Wishart matrices in p variables with common covariance and having m and n degrees of freedom, respectively. The distribution of the largest eigenvalue of (A + B)(-1)B has numerous applications in multivariate statistics, but is difficult to calculate exactly. Suppose that m and n grow in proportion to p. We show that after centering and, scaling, the distribution is approximated to second-order, O(p(-2/3)), by the Tracy-Widom law. The…

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Adapting to unknown sparsity by controlling the false discovery rate

通过控制错误发现率适应未知稀疏性

We attempt to recover an n-dimensional vector observed in white noise, where n is large and the vector is known to be sparse, but the degree of sparsity is unknown. We consider three different ways of defining sparsity of a vector: using the fraction of nonzero terms; imposing power-law decay bounds on the ordered entries; and controlling the ℓp norm for p small. We obtain a procedure which is asymptotically minimax for ℓr loss, simultaneously throughout a range of such…

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Empirical Bayes selection of wavelet thresholds

小波阈值的经验贝叶斯选择

This paper explores a class of empirical Bayes methods for level-dependent threshold selection in wavelet shrinkage. The prior considered for each wavelet coefficient is a mixture of an atom of probability at zero and a heavy-tailed density. The mixing weight, or sparsity parameter, for each level of the transform is chosen by marginal maximum likelihood. If estimation is carried out using the posterior median, this is a random thresholding procedure; the estimation can also…

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Periodic boxcar deconvolution and diophantine approximation

周期箱形核反卷积与丢番图逼近

We consider the nonparametric estimation of a periodic function that is observed in additive Gaussian white noise after convolution with a “boxcar,” the indicator function of an interval. This is an idealized model for the problem of recovery of noisy signals and images observed with “motion blur.” If the length of the boxcar is rational, then certain frequencies are irretreviably lost in the periodic model. We consider the rate of convergence of estimators when the length…

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Wavelet Deconvolution in a Periodic Setting

Summary Deconvolution problems are naturally represented in the Fourier domain, whereas thresholding in wavelet bases is known to have broad adaptivity properties. We study a method which combines both fast Fourier and fast wavelet transforms and can recover a blurred function observed in white noise with O{n log (n)2} steps. In the periodic setting, the method applies to most deconvolution problems, including certain ‘boxcar’ kernels, which are important as a model of…

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Needles and straw in haystacks: Empirical Bayes estimates of possibly sparse sequences

大海捞针:可能稀疏序列的经验贝叶斯估计

An empirical Bayes approach to the estimation of possibly sparse sequences observed in Gaussian white noise is set out and investigated. The prior considered is a mixture of an atom of probability at zero and a heavy-tailed density γ, with the mixing weight chosen by marginal maximum likelihood, in the hope of adapting between sparse and dense sequences. If estimation is then carried out using the posterior median, this is a random thresholding procedure. Other thresholding…

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On the distribution of the largest eigenvalue in principal components analysis

主成分分析中最大特征值的分布

Let x(1) denote the square of the largest singular value of an n × p matrix X, all of whose entries are independent standard Gaussian variates. Equivalently, x(1) is the largest principal component variance of the covariance matrix $X'X$, or the largest eigenvalue of a p­variate Wishart distribution on n degrees of freedom with identity covariance. Consider the limit of large p and n with $n/p = \gamma \ge 1$. When centered by $\mu_p = (\sqrt{n-1} + \sqrt{p})^2$ and scaled…

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Minimax estimation via wavelet shrinkage

通过小波收缩实现极小极大估计

We attempt to recover an unknown function from noisy, sampled data. Using orthonormal bases of compactly supported wavelets, we develop a nonlinear method which works in the wavelet domain by simple nonlinear shrinkage of the empirical wavelet coefficients. The shrinkage can be tuned to be nearly minimax over any member of a wide range of Triebel- and Besov-type smoothness constraints and asymptotically mini-max over Besov bodies with $p \leq q$. Linear estimates cannot…

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Wavelet Threshold Estimators for Data with Correlated Noise

相关噪声数据的小波阈值估计

Summary Wavelet threshold estimators for data with stationary correlated noise are constructed by applying a level-dependent soft threshold to the coefficients in the wavelet transform. A variety of threshold choices is proposed, including one based on an unbiased estimate of mean-squared error. The practical performance of the method is demonstrated on examples, including data from a neurophysiological context. The theoretical properties of the estimators are investigated…

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Density estimation by wavelet thresholding

基于小波阈值化的密度估计

Density estimation is a commonly used test case for nonparametric estimation methods. We explore the asymptotic properties of estimators based on thresholding of empirical wavelet coefficients. Minimax rates of convergence are studied over a large range of Besov function classes $B_{\sigma pq}$ and for a range of global $L'_p$ error measures, $1 \leq p' < \infty$. A single wavelet threshold estimator is asymptotically minimax within logarithmic terms simultaneously over a…

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Adapting to Unknown Smoothness via Wavelet Shrinkage

通过小波收缩适应未知光滑度

We attempt to recover a function of unknown smoothness from noisy sampled data. We introduce a procedure, SureShrink, that suppresses noise by thresholding the empirical wavelet coefficients. The thresholding is adaptive: A threshold level is assigned to each dyadic resolution level by the principle of minimizing the Stein unbiased estimate of risk (Sure) for threshold estimates. The computational effort of the overall procedure is order N · log(N) as a function of the…

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Wavelet Shrinkage: Asymptopia?

小波收缩:渐近理想之境?

SUMMARY Much recent effort has sought asymptotically minimax methods for recovering infinite dimensional objects—curves, densities, spectral densities, images—from noisy data. A now rich and complex body of work develops nearly or exactly minimax estimators for an array of interesting problems. Unfortunately, the results have rarely moved into practice, for a variety of reasons—among them being similarity to known methods, computational intractability and lack of spatial…

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On Minimax Estimation of a Sparse Normal Mean Vector

稀疏正态均值向量的极小极大估计

Mallows has conjectured that among distributions which are Gaussian but for occasional contamination by additive noise, the one having least Fisher information has (two-sided) geometric contamination. A very similar problem arises in estimation of a nonnegative vector parameter in Gaussian white noise when it is known also that most [i.e., $(1 - \varepsilon)$] components are zero. We provide a partial asymptotic expansion of the minimax risk as $\varepsilon \rightarrow 0$.…

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Maximum Entropy and the Nearly Black Object

SUMMARY Maximum entropy (ME) inversion is a non-linear inversion technique for inverse problems where the object to be recovered is known to be positive. It has been applied in areas ranging from radio astronomy to various forms of spectroscopy, sometimes with dramatic success. In some cases, ME has attained an order of magnitude finer resolution and/or an order of magnitude smaller noise level than that obtainable by standard linear methods. The dramatic successes all seem…

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Minimax Estimation of a Constrained Poisson Vector

受约束泊松向量的极小极大估计

Suppose that the mean $\tau$ of a vector of Poisson variates is known to lie in a bounded domain $T$ in $\lbrack 0,\infty)^p$. How much does this a priori information increase precision of estimation of $\tau$? Using error measure $\sum_i(\hat\tau_i - \tau_i)^2/\tau_i$ and minimax risk $\rho(T)$, we give analytical and numerical results for small intervals when $p = 1$. Usually, however, approximations are needed. If $T$ is "rectangularly convex" at 0, there exist linear…

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Hotelling's Theorem on the Volume of Tubes: Some Illustrations in Simultaneous Inference and Data Analysis

Hotelling 管体积定理:同时推断与数据分析中的应用

We illustrate with contemporary examples Hotelling's geometric approach to simultaneous probability calculations. Hotelling reduces the evaluation of certain normal theory significance probabilities to finding the volume of a tube about a curve in a hypersphere, and shows that this volume is often exactly given by length times cross-sectional area. We review Hotelling's result together with some recent complements, and then use the approach to set simultaneous prediction…

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Speed of Estimation in Positron Emission Tomography and Related Inverse Problems

正电子发射断层成像及相关逆问题的估计速度

Several algorithms for image reconstruction in positron emission tomography (PET) have been described in the medical and statistical literature. We study a continuous idealization of the PET reconstruction problem, considered as an example of bivariate density estimation based on indirect observations. Given a large sample of indirect observations, we consider the size of the equivalent sample of observations, whose original exact positions would allow equally accurate…

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Fisher's Information in Terms of the Hazard Rate

以危险率表示Fisher信息

If $\{g_\theta(t)\}$ is a regular family of probability densities on the real line, with corresponding hazard rates $\{h_\theta(t)\}$, then the Fisher information for $\theta$ can be expressed in terms of the hazard rate as follows: $\mathscr{I}_\theta \equiv \int \big(\frac{\dot{g}_\theta}{g_\theta}\big)^2 g_\theta = \int \big(\frac{\dot{h}_\theta}{h_\theta}\big)^2 g_\theta, \theta \in \mathbb{R},$ where the dot denotes $\partial/\partial\theta$. This identity shows that…

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