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Extremal Local Linear Quantile Regression for Heavy-Tailed Time Series with near Epoch Dependence

近历元依赖重尾时间序列的极端局部线性分位数回归

This paper develops a data-driven inference procedure for extreme analysis of data with near epoch dependence (NED), a condition less restrictive than traditional dependence structures like α-mixing, making it particularly useful for analyzing heavy-tailed time series data. To capture nonlinear data structures, we propose a new framework that combines local linear quantile regression with extreme value theory. We first study the asymptotic properties of the local-linear…

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Estimation and Inference of Quantile Spatially Varying Coefficient Models Over Complicated Domains

复杂区域上分位数空间变系数模型的估计与推断

This article presents a flexible quantile spatially varying coefficient model (QSVCM) for the regression analysis of spatial data. The proposed model enables researchers to assess the dependence of conditional quantiles of the response variable on covariates while accounting for spatial nonstationarity. Our approach facilitates learning and interpreting heterogeneity in spatial data distributed over complex or irregular domains. We introduce a quantile regression method that…

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Single-index Thresholding in Quantile Regression

分位数回归中的单指标门限模型

Threshold regression models are useful for identifying subgroups with heterogeneous parameters. The conventional threshold regression models split the sample based on a single and observed threshold variable, which enforces the threshold point to be equal for all subgroups of the population. In this article, we consider a more flexible single-index threshold model in the quantile regression setup, in which the sample is split based on a linear combination of predictors. We…

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Sparse Learning and Structure Identification for Ultrahigh-Dimensional Image-on-Scalar Regression

超高维图像对标量回归中的稀疏学习与结构识别

This article considers high-dimensional image-on-scalar regression, where the spatial heterogeneity of covariate effects on imaging responses is investigated via a flexible partially linear spatially varying coefficient model. To tackle the challenges of spatial smoothing over the imaging response’s complex domain consisting of regions of interest, we approximate the spatially varying coefficient functions via bivariate spline functions over triangulation. We first study…

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Quantile-regression-based clustering for panel data

基于分位数回归的面板数据聚类

In panel data analysis, it is important to identify subgroups of units with heterogeneous parameters. This can not only increase the model flexibility but also produce more efficient estimation by pooling information across units within the same group. In this paper, we propose a new quantile-regression-based clustering method for panel data. We develop an iterative algorithm using a similar idea of k-means clustering to identify subgroups with heterogeneous slopes at a…

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Extreme Quantile Estimation for Autoregressive Models

自回归模型的极端分位数估计

A quantile autoregresive model is a useful extension of classical autoregresive models as it can capture the influences of conditioning variables on the location, scale, and shape of the response distribution. However, at the extreme tails, standard quantile autoregression estimator is often unstable due to data sparsity. In this article, assuming quantile autoregresive models, we develop a new estimator for extreme conditional quantiles of time series data based on extreme…

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Testing for the presence of significant covariates through conditional marginal regression

通过条件边际回归检验遗漏协变量的显著性

Researchers sometimes have a priori information on the relative importance of predictors that can be used to screen out covariates. An important question is whether any of the discarded covariates have predictive power when the most relevant predictors are included in the model. We consider testing whether any discarded covariate is significant conditional on some pre-chosen covariates. We propose a maximum-type test statistic and show that it has a nonstandard asymptotic…

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Testing for Marginal Linear Effects in Quantile Regression

分位数回归中的边际线性效应检验

Summary The paper develops a new marginal testing procedure to detect significant predictors that are associated with the conditional quantiles of a scalar response. The idea is to fit the marginal quantile regression on each predictor one at a time, and then to base the test on the t-statistics that are associated with the most predictive predictors. A resampling method is devised to calibrate this test statistic, which has non-regular limiting behaviour due to the…

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Estimation of Extreme Conditional Quantiles Through Power Transformation

通过幂变换估计极端条件分位数

The estimation of extreme conditional quantiles is an important issue in numerous disciplines. Quantile regression (QR) provides a natural way to capture the covariate effects at different tails of the response distribution. However, without any distributional assumptions, estimation from conventional QR is often unstable at the tails, especially for heavy-tailed distributions due to data sparsity. In this article, we develop a new three-stage estimation procedure that…

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Estimation of High Conditional Quantiles for Heavy-Tailed Distributions

重尾分布的高位条件分位数估计

Estimation of conditional quantiles at very high or low tails is of interest in numerous applications. Quantile regression provides a convenient and natural way of quantifying the impact of covariates at different quantiles of a response distribution. However, high tails are often associated with data sparsity, so quantile regression estimation can suffer from high variability at tails especially for heavy-tailed distributions. In this article, we develop new estimation…

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Multiple Imputation for M -Regression With Censored Covariates

协变量受删失时 M 回归的多重插补

We develop a new multiple imputation approach for M-regression models with censored covariates. Instead of specifying parametric likelihoods, our method imputes the censored covariates by their conditional quantiles given the observed data, where the conditional quantiles are estimated through fitting a censored quantile regression process. The resulting estimator is shown to be consistent and asymptotically normal, and it improves the estimation efficiency by using…

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Quantile regression in partially linear varying coefficient models

部分线性变系数模型中的分位数回归

Semiparametric models are often considered for analyzing longitudinal data for a good balance between flexibility and parsimony. In this paper, we study a class of marginal partially linear quantile models with possibly varying coefficients. The functional coefficients are estimated by basis function approximations. The estimation procedure is easy to implement, and it requires no specification of the error distributions. The asymptotic properties of the proposed estimators…

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Locally Weighted Censored Quantile Regression

局部加权删失分位数回归

Censored quantile regression offers a valuable supplement to Cox proportional hazards model for survival analysis. Existing work in the literature often requires stringent assumptions, such as unconditional independence of the survival time and the censoring variable or global linearity at all quantile levels. Moreover, some of the work uses recursive algorithms, making it challenging to derive asymptotic normality. To overcome these drawbacks, we propose a new locally…

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Inference for censored quantile regression models in longitudinal studies

纵向研究中删失分位数回归模型的推断

We develop inference procedures for longitudinal data where some of the measurements are censored by fixed constants. We consider a semi-parametric quantile regression model that makes no distributional assumptions. Our research is motivated by the lack of proper inference procedures for data from biomedical studies where measurements are censored due to a fixed quantification limit. In such studies the focus is often on testing hypotheses about treatment equality. To this…

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