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Unified Optimal Model Averaging with a General Loss Function based on Cross-Validation

基于交叉验证与一般损失函数的统一最优模型平均

Studying unified model averaging estimation for situations with complicated data structures, we propose a novel model averaging method based on cross-validation ( MACV). MACV unifies a large class of new and existing model averaging estimators and covers a very general class of loss functions. Furthermore, to reduce the computational burden caused by the conventional leave-subject/one-out cross validation, we propose a SEcond-order-Approximated Leave-one/subject-out ( SEAL)…

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Improving Tensor Regression by Optimal Model Averaging

通过最优模型平均改进张量回归

Tensors have broad applications in neuroimaging, data mining, digital marketing, etc. CANDECOMP/PARAFAC (CP) tensor decomposition can effectively reduce the number of parameters to gain dimensionality-reduction and thus plays a key role in tensor regression. However, in CP decomposition, there is uncertainty about which rank to use. In this article, we develop a model averaging method to handle this uncertainty by weighting the estimators from candidate tensor regression…

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A Scalable Frequentist Model Averaging Method

可扩展的频率学派模型平均方法

Frequentist model averaging is an effective technique to handle model uncertainty. However, calculation of the weights for averaging is extremely difficult, if not impossible, even when the dimension of the predictor vector, p, is moderate, because we may have 2p candidate models. The exponential size of the candidate model set makes it difficult to estimate all candidate models, and brings additional numeric errors when calculating the weights. This article proposes a…

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A Novel Estimation Method in Generalized Single Index Models

广义单指标模型的一种新估计方法

The single index and generalized single index models have been demonstrated to be a powerful tool for studying nonlinear interaction effects of variables in the low-dimensional case. In this article, we propose a new estimation approach for generalized single index models E(Y | θ⊤X)=ψ(g(θ⊤X)) with ψ(·) known but g(·) unknown. Specifically, we first obtain a consistent estimator of the regression function by using a local linear smoother, and then estimate the parametric…

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Parsimonious Model Averaging With a Diverging Number of Parameters

参数维度增长下的简约模型平均

Model averaging generally provides better predictions than model selection, but the existing model averaging methods cannot lead to parsimonious models. Parsimony is an especially important property when the number of parameters is large. To achieve a parsimonious model averaging coefficient estimator, we suggest a novel criterion for choosing weights. Asymptotic properties are derived in two practical scenarios: (i) one or more correct models exist in the candidate model…

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Efficient estimation and computation of parameters and nonparametric functions in generalized semi/non-parametric regression models

广义半参数与非参数回归中参数及函数的有效估计与计算

The efficiency of estimation for the parameters in semiparametric models has been widely studied in the literature (Bickel et al., 1993). In this paper, we study efficient estimators for both parameters and nonparametric functions in a class of generalized semi/non-parametric regression models, which cover commonly used semiparametric models such as partially linear models, partially linear single index models, and two-sample semiparametric models. We propose a maximum…

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Efficient Estimation of the Nonparametric Mean and Covariance Functions for Longitudinal and Sparse Functional Data

纵向与稀疏函数数据中非参数均值和协方差函数的有效估计

We consider the estimation of mean and covariance functions for longitudinal and sparse functional data by using the full quasi-likelihood coupling a modification of the local kernel smoothing method. The proposed estimators are shown to be consistent, asymptotically normal, and semiparametrically efficient in terms of their linear functionals. Their superiority to the competitors is further illustrated numerically through simulation studies. The method is applied to analyze…

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Optimal Model Averaging Estimation for Generalized Linear Models and Generalized Linear Mixed-Effects Models

广义线性模型与广义线性混合效应模型的最优模型平均估计

Considering model averaging estimation in generalized linear models, we propose a weight choice criterion based on the Kullback–Leibler (KL) loss with a penalty term. This criterion is different from that for continuous observations in principle, but reduces to the Mallows criterion in the situation. We prove that the corresponding model averaging estimator is asymptotically optimal under certain assumptions. We further extend our concern to the generalized linear…

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Estimation and inference in generalized additive coefficient models for nonlinear interactions with high-dimensional covariates

高维协变量非线性交互的广义加性系数模型估计与推断

In the low-dimensional case, the generalized additive coefficient model (GACM) proposed by Xue and Yang [Statist. Sinica 16 (2006) 1423–1446] has been demonstrated to be a powerful tool for studying nonlinear interaction effects of variables. In this paper, we propose estimation and inference procedures for the GACM when the dimension of the variables is high. Specifically, we propose a groupwise penalization based procedure to distinguish significant covariates for the…

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Semiparametric GEE analysis in partially linear single-index models for longitudinal data

纵向数据部分线性单指标模型的半参数 GEE 分析

In this article, we study a partially linear single-index model for longitudinal data under a general framework which includes both the sparse and dense longitudinal data cases. A semiparametric estimation method based on a combination of the local linear smoothing and generalized estimation equations (GEE) is introduced to estimate the two parameter vectors as well as the unknown link function. Under some mild conditions, we derive the asymptotic properties of the proposed…

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Variance Function Partially Linear Single-Index Models

方差函数的部分线性单指标模型

Summary We consider heteroscedastic regression models where the mean function is a partially linear single-index model and the variance function depends on a generalized partially linear single-index model. We do not insist that the variance function depends only on the mean function, as happens in the classical generalized partially linear single-index model. We develop efficient and practical estimation methods for the variance function and for the mean function.…

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Sparse Additive Ordinary Differential Equations for Dynamic Gene Regulatory Network Modeling

动态基因调控网络建模的稀疏可加常微分方程

The gene regulation network (GRN) is a high-dimensional complex system, which can be represented by various mathematical or statistical models. The ordinary differential equation (ODE) model is one of the popular dynamic GRN models. High-dimensional linear ODE models have been proposed to identify GRNs, but with a limitation of the linear regulation effect assumption. In this article, we propose a sparse additive ODE (SA-ODE) model, coupled with ODE estimation methods and…

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Estimation and model selection in generalized additive partial linear models for correlated data with diverging number of covariates

协变量维数增长时相关数据的广义可加部分线性模型估计与选择

We propose generalized additive partial linear models for complex data which allow one to capture nonlinear patterns of some covariates, in the presence of linear components. The proposed method improves estimation efficiency and increases statistical power for correlated data through incorporating the correlation information. A unique feature of the proposed method is its capability of handling model selection in cases where it is difficult to specify the likelihood…

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GENERALIZED ADDITIVE PARTIAL LINEAR MODELS WITH HIGH-DIMENSIONAL COVARIATES

含高维协变量的广义可加部分线性模型

This paper studies generalized additive partial linear models with high-dimensional covariates. We are interested in which components (including parametric and nonparametric components) are nonzero. The additive nonparametric functions are approximated by polynomial splines. We propose a doubly penalized procedure to obtain an initial estimate and then use the adaptive least absolute shrinkage and selection operator to identify nonzero components and to obtain the final…

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High-Dimensional ODEs Coupled With Mixed-Effects Modeling Techniques for Dynamic Gene Regulatory Network Identification

结合混合效应建模的高维常微分方程动态基因调控网络识别

Gene regulation is a complicated process. The interaction of many genes and their products forms an intricate biological network. Identification of this dynamic network will help us understand the biological process in a systematic way. However, the construction of such a dynamic network is very challenging for a high-dimensional system. In this article we propose to use a set of ordinary differential equations (ODE), coupled with dimensional reduction by clustering and…

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Optimal Weight Choice for Frequentist Model Average Estimators

频率学派模型平均估计量的最优权重选择

There has been increasing interest recently in model averaging within the frequentist paradigm. The main benefit of model averaging over model selection is that it incorporates rather than ignores the uncertainty inherent in the model selection process. One of the most important, yet challenging, aspects of model averaging is how to optimally combine estimates from different models. In this work, we suggest a procedure of weight choice for frequentist model average…

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Estimation and variable selection for generalized additive partial linear models

广义可加部分线性模型的估计与变量选择

We study generalized additive partial linear models, proposing the use of polynomial spline smoothing for estimation of nonparametric functions, and deriving quasi-likelihood based estimators for the linear parameters. We establish asymptotic normality for the estimators of the parametric components. The procedure avoids solving large systems of equations as in kernel-based procedures and thus results in gains in computational simplicity. We further develop a class of…

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Focused information criterion and model averaging for generalized additive partial linear models

广义可加部分线性模型的聚焦信息准则与模型平均

We study model selection and model averaging in generalized additive partial linear models (GAPLMs). Polynomial spline is used to approximate nonparametric functions. The corresponding estimators of the linear parameters are shown to be asymptotically normal. We then develop a focused information criterion (FIC) and a frequentist model average (FMA) estimator on the basis of the quasi-likelihood principle and examine theoretical properties of the FIC and FMA. The major…

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Estimation and testing for partially linear single-index models

部分线性单指标模型的估计与检验

In partially linear single-index models, we obtain the semiparametrically efficient profile least-squares estimators of regression coefficients. We also employ the smoothly clipped absolute deviation penalty (SCAD) approach to simultaneously select variables and estimate regression coefficients. We show that the resulting SCAD estimators are consistent and possess the oracle property. Subsequently, we demonstrate that a proposed tuning parameter selector, BIC, identifies the…

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Penalized variable selection procedure for Cox models with semiparametric relative risk

半参数相对风险Cox模型的惩罚变量选择

We study the Cox models with semiparametric relative risk, which can be partially linear with one nonparametric component, or multiple additive or nonadditive nonparametric components. A penalized partial likelihood procedure is proposed to simultaneously estimate the parameters and select variables for both the parametric and the nonparametric parts. Two penalties are applied sequentially. The first penalty, governing the smoothness of the multivariate nonlinear covariate…

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Variable Selection for Partially Linear Models With Measurement Errors

带测量误差的部分线性模型变量选择

This article focuses on variable selection for partially linear models when the covariates are measured with additive errors. We propose two classes of variable selection procedures, penalized least squares and penalized quantile regression, using the nonconvex penalized principle. The first procedure corrects the bias in the loss function caused by the measurement error by applying the so-called correction-for-attenuation approach, whereas the second procedure corrects the…

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Statistical inference for semiparametric varying-coefficient partially linear models with error-prone linear covariates

线性协变量含测量误差的半参数变系数部分线性模型推断

We study semiparametric varying-coefficient partially linear models when some linear covariates are not observed, but ancillary variables are available. Semiparametric profile least-square-based estimation procedures are developed for parametric and nonparametric components after we calibrate the error-prone covariates. Asymptotic properties of the proposed estimators are established. We also propose the profile least-square-based ratio test and Wald test to identify…

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Parameter Estimation for Differential Equation Models Using a Framework of Measurement Error in Regression Models

在回归测量误差框架下估计微分方程模型参数

Differential equation (DE) models are widely used in many scientific fields that include engineering, physics and biomedical sciences. The so-called "forward problem", the problem of simulations and predictions of state variables for given parameter values in the DE models, has been extensively studied by mathematicians, physicists, engineers and other scientists. However, the "inverse problem", the problem of parameter estimation based on the measurements of output…

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Variable selection in semiparametric regression modeling

半参数回归建模中的变量选择

In this paper, we are concerned with how to select significant variables in semiparametric modeling. Variable selection for semiparametric regression models consists of two components: model selection for nonparametric components and select significant variables for parametric portion. Thus, it is much more challenging than that for parametric models such as linear models and generalized linear models because traditional variable selection procedures including stepwise…

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