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《从固定 X 到随机 X 回归：偏差方差分解、协方差惩罚与预测误差估计》讨论AI 解读

Rosset and Tibshirani are to be congratulated for addressing an important yet under-studied topic of modern statistics, so-called Random-X prediction in regression analysis. In statistics, Random-X...

地统计回归模型选择中广义信息准则的渐近理论AI 解读

Information criteria, such as Akaike’s information criterion and Bayesian information criterion are often applied in model selection. However, their asymptotic behaviors for selecting geostatistical regression models have not been well studied, particularly under the fixed domain asymptotic framework with more and more data observed in a bounded fixed region. In this article, we study the generalized information criterion (GIC) for selecting geostatistical regression models…

格点数据空间线性模型的选择AI 解读

Summary Spatial linear models are popular for the analysis of data on a spatial lattice, but statistical techniques for selection of covariates and a neighbourhood structure are limited. Here we develop new methodology for simultaneous model selection and parameter estimation via penalized maximum likelihood under a spatial adaptive lasso. A computationally efficient algorithm is devised for obtaining approximate penalized maximum likelihood estimates. Asymptotic properties…

通过正则化解曲面追寻预测变量分组AI 解读

Extracting grouping structure or identifying homogenous subgroups of predictors in regression is crucial for high-dimensional data analysis. A low-dimensional structure in particular-grouping, when captured in a regression model, enables to enhance predictive performance and to facilitate a model's interpretability Grouping pursuit extracts homogenous subgroups of predictors most responsible for outcomes of a response. This is the case in gene network analysis, where…

最优地统计模型选择AI 解读

In many fields of science, predicting variables of interest over a study region based on noisy data observed at some locations is an important problem. Two popular methods for the problem are kriging and smoothing splines. The former assumes that the underlying process is stochastic, whereas the latter assumes it is purely deterministic. Kriging performs better than smoothing splines in some situations, but is outperformed by smoothing splines in others. However, little is…

面向海量数据的快速最优空间预测方法AI 解读

This article considers a class of multiresolution tree-structured models that are spatially shifted versions of each other and proposes a new spatial-prediction method that averages over the optimal spatial predictors produced from members of this class of models. As a consequence, the resulting predicted surface is smooth, even when the predictors generated separately from individual multiresolution tree-structured models are not. We call the new predictor the…

模型选择后的统计推断AI 解读

Typical modeling strategies involve model selection, which has a significant effect on inference of estimated parameters. Common practice is to use a selected model ignoring uncertainty introduced by the process of model selection. This could yield overoptimistic inferences, resulting in false discovery. In this article we develop a general methodology via optimal approximation for estimating the mean and variance of complex statistics that involve the process of model…

空间信号的非参数假设检验AI 解读

Nonparametric hypothesis testing for a spatial signal can involve a large number of hypotheses. For instance, two satellite images of the same scene, taken before and after an event, could be used to test a hypothesis that the event has no environmental impact. This is equivalent to testing that the mean difference of “after-before” is zero at each of the (typically thousands of) pixels that make up the scene. In such a situation, conventional testing procedures that control…

非可分时空平稳协方差函数类AI 解读

Suppose that a random process Z(s;t), indexed in space and time, has spatio-temporal stationary covariance C(h;u), where h ∈ ℝd (d ≥ 1) is a spatial lag and u ∈ ℝ is a temporal lag. Separable spatio-temporal covariances have the property that they can be written as a product of a purely spatial covariance and a purely temporal covariance. Their ease of definition is counterbalanced by the rather limited class of random processes to which they correspond. In this article we…