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Goodness-of-fit testing of error distribution in linear measurement error models

线性测量误差模型中误差分布的拟合优度检验

This paper investigates a class of goodness-of-fit tests for fitting an error density in linear regression models with measurement error in covariates. Each test statistic is the integrated square difference between the deconvolution kernel density estimator of the regression model error density and a smoothed version of the null error density, an analog of the so-called Bickel and Rosenblatt test statistic. The asymptotic null distributions of the proposed test statistics…

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Fitting a two phase threshold multiplicative error model

两阶段门槛乘法误差模型的拟合检验

The recent literature on financial time series analysis has devoted considerable attention to nonnegative time series, such as financial durations, realized volatility, and squared returns. The class of models, referred to as the multiplicative error models [MEM], is particularly suited to model such nonnegative time series. We develop a lack-of-fit test for fitting a two-phase threshold model for the conditional mean function in an MEM. The proposed testing procedure can…

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ASYMPTOTIC NORMALITY FOR WEIGHTED SUMS OF LINEAR PROCESSES

线性过程加权和的渐近正态性

We establish asymptotic normality of weighted sums of linear processes with general triangular array weights and when the innovations in the linear process are martingale differences. The results are obtained under minimal conditions on the weights and innovations. We also obtain weak convergence of weighted partial sum processes. The results are applicable to linear processes that have short or long memory or exhibit seasonal long memory behavior. In particular, they are…

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The transfer principle: A tool for complete case analysis

转移原理:完整案例分析的工具

This paper gives a general method for deriving limiting distributions of complete case statistics for missing data models from corresponding results for the model where all data are observed. This provides a convenient tool for obtaining the asymptotic behavior of complete case versions of established full data methods without lengthy proofs. The methodology is illustrated by analyzing three inference procedures for partially linear regression models with responses missing…

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LACK-OF-FIT TESTING OF THE CONDITIONAL MEAN FUNCTION IN A CLASS OF MARKOV MULTIPLICATIVE ERROR MODELS

一类马尔可夫乘法误差模型的条件均值失拟检验

Abstract The family of multiplicative error models, introduced by Engle (2002, Journal of Applied Econometrics 17, 425–446), has attracted considerable attention in recent literature for modeling positive random variables, such as the duration between trades at a stock exchange, volume transactions, and squared log returns. Such models are also applicable to other positive variables such as waiting time in a queue, daily/hourly rainfall, and demand for electricity. This…

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Goodness-of-fit problem for errors in nonparametric regression: Distribution free approach

非参数回归误差的拟合优度问题:分布无关方法

This paper discusses asymptotically distribution free tests for the classical goodness-of-fit hypothesis of an error distribution in nonparametric regression models. These tests are based on the same martingale transform of the residual empirical process as used in the one sample location model. This transformation eliminates extra randomization due to covariates but not due the errors, which is intrinsically present in the estimators of the regression function. Thus, tests…

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Minimum distance regression model checking with Berkson measurement errors

Berkson 测量误差下的最小距离回归模型检验

Lack-of-fit testing of a regression model with Berkson measurement error has not been discussed in the literature to date. To fill this void, we propose a class of tests based on minimized integrated square distances between a nonparametric regression function estimator and the parametric model being fitted. We prove asymptotic normality of these test statistics under the null hypothesis and that of the corresponding minimum distance estimators under minimal conditions on…

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Asymptotic inference in some heteroscedastic regression models with long memory design and errors

具有长记忆设计与误差的异方差回归模型渐近推断

This paper discusses asymptotic distributions of various estimators of the underlying parameters in some regression models with long memory (LM) Gaussian design and nonparametric heteroscedastic LM moving average errors. In the simple linear regression model, the first-order asymptotic distribution of the least square estimator of the slope parameter is observed to be degenerate. However, in the second order, this estimator is n1/2-consistent and asymptotically normal for…

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Fitting an error distribution in some heteroscedastic time series models

若干异方差时间序列模型中的误差分布拟合

This paper addresses the problem of fitting a known distribution to the innovation distribution in a class of stationary and ergodic time series models. The asymptotic null distribution of the usual Kolmogorov–Smirnov test based on the residuals generally depends on the underlying model parameters and the error distribution. To overcome the dependence on the underlying model parameters, we propose that tests be based on a vector of certain weighted residual empirical…

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Martingale transforms goodness-of-fit tests in regression models

回归模型中基于鞅变换的拟合优度检验

This paper discusses two goodness-of-fit testing problems. The first problem pertains to fitting an error distribution to an assumed nonlinear parametric regression model, while the second pertains to fitting a parametric regression model when the error distribution is unknown. For the first problem the paper contains tests based on a certain martingale type transform of residual empirical processes. The advantage of this transform is that the corresponding tests are…

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REGRESSION MODEL FITTING WITH A LONG MEMORY COVARIATE PROCESS

长记忆协变量过程下的回归模型拟合检验

This paper proposes some tests for fitting a regression model with a long memory covariate process and with errors that form either a martingale difference sequence or a long memory moving average process, independent of the covariate. The tests are based on a partial sum process of the residuals from the fitted regression. The asymptotic null distribution of this process is discussed in some detail under each set of these assumptions. The proposed tests are shown to have…

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Nonparametric model checks for time series

时间序列的非参数模型检验

This paper studies a class of tests useful for testing the goodness-of-fit of an autoregressive model. These tests are based on a class of empirical processes marked by certain residuals. The paper first gives their large sample behavior under null hypotheses. Then a martingale transformation of the underlying process is given that makes tests based on it asymptotically distribution free. Consistency of these tests is also discussed briefly.

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Note on convergence rates of semiparametric estimators of dependence index

依赖指数半参数估计量收敛速率的说明

Considerable recent attention has been devoted to semiparametric estimation of the dependence index, or the Hurst constant, using methods based on information in either frequency or time domains. Convergence rates of estimators in the frequency domain have been derived, and in the present paper we obtain them for estimators in the time domain. It is shown that the latter can have superior performance for moderate-range time series, but are inferior in the context of…

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Asymptotic expansion of M-estimators with long-memory errors

长记忆误差下 M 估计量的渐近展开

This paper obtains a higher-order asymptotic expansion of a class of M-estimators of the one-sample location parameter when the errors form a long-memory moving average. A suitably standardized difference between an M-estimator and the sample mean is shown to have a limiting distribution. The nature of the limiting distribution depends on the range of the dependence parameter $\theta$. If, for example, $1/3 < \theta < 1$, then a suitably standardized difference between the…

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Adaptive estimation in a random coefficient autoregressive model

随机系数自回归模型中的自适应估计

This paper proves the local asymptotic normality of a stationary and ergodic first order random coefficient autoregressive model in a semiparametric setting. This result is used to show that Stein's necessary condition for adaptive estimation of the mean of the random coefficient is satisfied if the distributions of the innovations and the errors in the random coefficients are symmetric around zero. Under these symmetry assumptions, a locally asymptotically minimax adaptive…

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Asymptotics of some estimators and sequential residual empiricals in nonlinear time series

非线性时间序列中若干估计量与序贯残差经验过程的渐近理论

This paper establishes the asymptotic uniform linearity of M- and R-scores in a family of nonlinear time series and regression models. It also gives an asymptotic expansion of the standardized sequential residual empirical process in these models. These results are, in turn, used to obtain the asymptotic normality of certain classes of M-, R- and minimum distance estimators of the underlying parameters. The classes of estimators considered include analogs of Hodges-Lehmann,…

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Autoregression Quantiles and Related Rank-Scores Processes

自回归分位数及相关秩得分过程

This paper develops extensions of the regression quantiles of Koenker and Bassett (1978) to autoregression. It generalizes several results of Jureckova (1992a) and Gutenbrunner and Jureckova (1992) in linear regression to autoregression models. In particular, it gives the asymptotic uniform linearity of linear rank-scores statistics based on residuals suitable in autoregression. It also discusses the two types of $L$-statistics appropriate in autoregression.

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Weak Convergence of Randomly Weighted Dependent Residual Empiricals with Applications to Autoregression

随机加权依赖残差经验过程的弱收敛及自回归应用

This paper establishes the uniform closeness of a randomly weighted residual empirical process to its natural estimator via weak convergence techniques. The weights need not be independent, bounded or even square integrable. This result is used to yield the asymptotic uniform linearity of a class of rank statistics in $p$th-order autoregression models. The latter result, in turn, yields the asymptotic distributions of a class of robust and Jaeckel-type rank estimators. The…

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R-Estimation of the Parameters of Autoregressive [Ar (p)] Models

自回归AR(p)模型参数的R估计

In an AR(p) model, R-estimation of a subset of parameters is considered when the complementary subset is possibly redundant. Along with the rank test of the full hypothesis and the subhypothesis of the parameters, both preliminary test and shrinkage R-estimators are considered. In the light of asymptotic distributional risk, the relative asymptotic risk-efficiency results are given. Though, the shrinkage R-estimator may dominate their classical versions, they do not in…

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Weakly Adaptive Estimators in Explosive Autoregression

爆炸性自回归中的弱自适应估计量

Consider the model $X_i = \rho X_{i - 1} + \varepsilon_i, |\rho| > 1$, where $X_0, \varepsilon_1, \varepsilon_2, \cdots$ are independent random variables with $\varepsilon_1, \varepsilon_2, \cdots$ having common density $\psi$. This paper gives sufficient conditions under which the sequence of experiments induced by $\{X_0, X_1, \cdots, X_n\}$ has a weak limit in the sense of Le Cam. In general, the limiting experiment is translation invariant and neither LAN nor LAMN. The…

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Weak Convergence of the Residual Empirical Process in Explosive Autoregression

爆炸性自回归中残差经验过程的弱收敛

This paper proves the weak convergence of the residual empirical process in an explosive autoregression model to the Brownian bridge. As an application the Kolmogorov-Smirnov goodness-of-fit test for testing that the errors have a specified distribution is shown to be asymptotically distribution-free.

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Minimum Distance Estimation and Goodness-of-Fit Tests in First-Order Autoregression

一阶自回归中的最小距离估计与拟合优度检验

This paper gives a class of minimum $L_2$-distance estimators of the autoregression parameter in the first-order autoregression model when the errors have an unknown symmetric distribution. Within the class an asymptotically efficient estimator is exhibited. The asymptotic efficiency of this estimator relative to the least-squares estimator is the same as that of a certain signed rank estimator relative to the sample mean in the one sample location model. The paper also…

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Behavior of Robust Estimators in the Regression Model with Dependent Errors

依赖误差回归模型中稳健估计量的行为

This paper proves the asymptotic linearity in the regression parameter of a class of linear rank statistics when errors in the regression model are strictly stationary and strongly mixing. Besides this, several other weak convergence results are proved which yield the asymptotic normality of $L$ and $M$ estimators of the regression parameter under the above dependent structure. All these results are useful in studying the effect of the above dependence on the asymptotic…

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