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Population interference in panel experiments

面板实验中的群体干扰

The phenomenon of population interference, where a treatment assigned to one experimental unit affects another experimental unit’s outcome, has received considerable attention in standard randomized experiments. The complications produced by population interference in this setting are now readily recognized, and partial remedies are well known. Less understood is the impact of population interference in panel experiments where treatment is sequentially randomized in the…

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Randomization Tests for Peer Effects in Group Formation Experiments

群组形成实验中同伴效应的随机化检验

Measuring the effect of peers on individuals' outcomes is a challenging problem, in part because individuals often select peers who are similar in both observable and unobservable ways. Group formation experiments avoid this problem by randomly assigning individuals to groups and observing their responses; for example, do first‐year students have better grades when they are randomly assigned roommates who have stronger academic backgrounds? In this paper, we propose…

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The Generalized Oaxaca-Blinder Estimator

广义 Oaxaca–Blinder 估计量

After performing a randomized experiment, researchers often use ordinary least-square (OLS) regression to adjust for baseline covariates when estimating the average treatment effect. It is widely known that the resulting confidence interval is valid even if the linear model is misspecified. In this article, we generalize that conclusion to covariate adjustment with nonlinear models. We introduce an intuitive way to use any “simple” nonlinear model to construct a…

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A Graph-Theoretic Approach to Randomization Tests of Causal Effects under General Interference

一般干扰下因果效应随机化检验的图论方法

Abstract Interference exists when a unit's outcome depends on another unit's treatment assignment. For example, intensive policing on one street could have a spillover effect on neighbouring streets. Classical randomization tests typically break down in this setting because many null hypotheses of interest are no longer sharp under interference. A promising alternative is to instead construct a conditional randomization test on a subset of units and assignments for which a…

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Analyzing Two-Stage Experiments in the Presence of Interference

存在干扰时两阶段随机实验的分析

Two-stage randomization is a powerful design for estimating treatment effects in the presence of interference; that is, when one individual’s treatment assignment affects another individual’s outcomes. Our motivating example is a two-stage randomized trial evaluating an intervention to reduce student absenteeism in the School District of Philadelphia. In that experiment, households with multiple students were first assigned to treatment or control; then, in treated…

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