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第一类与第二类错误约束下的最优水印生成AI 解读

Abstract Watermarking has recently emerged as a crucial tool for protecting the intellectual property of generative models and for distinguishing AI-generated content from human-generated data. Despite its practical success, most existing watermarking schemes are empirically driven and lack a theoretical understanding of the fundamental trade-off between detection power and generation fidelity. To address this gap, we formulate watermarking as a statistical hypothesis…

基于隐私化成对排序的速率最优排序聚合AI 解读

In various real-world scenarios, such as recommender systems and political surveys, pairwise rankings are commonly collected and used for rank aggregation to derive an overall ranking of items. However, preference rankings can reveal individuals’ personal preferences, highlighting the need to protect them from exposure in downstream analysis. In this article, we address the challenge of preserving privacy while ensuring the utility of rank aggregation based on pairwise…

面向始终有效高维动态定价的在线正则化AI 解读

–Devising a dynamic pricing policy with always valid online statistical learning procedures is an important and as yet unresolved problem. Most existing dynamic pricing policies, which focus on the faithfulness of adopted customer choice models, exhibit a limited capability for adapting to the online uncertainty of learned statistical models during the pricing process. In this article, we propose a novel approach for designing a dynamic pricing policy based on regularized…

强化学习策略评估的在线自助法推断AI 解读

The recent emergence of reinforcement learning (RL) has created a demand for robust statistical inference methods for the parameter estimates computed using these algorithms. Existing methods for inference in online learning are restricted to settings involving independently sampled observations, while inference methods in RL have so far been limited to the batch setting. The bootstrap is a flexible and efficient approach for statistical inference in online learning…

普通最小二乘二次泛函的中等维度推断AI 解读

Statistical inferences for quadratic functionals of linear regression parameter have found wide applications including signal detection, global testing, inferences of error variance and fraction of variance explained. Classical theory based on ordinary least squares estimator works perfectly in the low-dimensional regime, but fails when the parameter dimension pn grows proportionally to the sample size n. In some cases, its performance is not satisfactory even when n≥5pn.…

线性约束下向量自回归模型的有限时间分析AI 解读

Summary This paper develops a unified finite-time theory for the ordinary least squares estimation of possibly unstable and even slightly explosive vector autoregressive models under linear restrictions, with the applicable region $\rho(A)\leqslant 1+c/n$, where $\rho(A)$ is the spectral radius of the transition matrix $A$ in the var(1) representation, $n$ is the time horizon and $c>0$ is a universal constant. The linear restriction framework encompasses various existing…

分位数回归过程的分布式推断AI 解读

The increased availability of massive data sets provides a unique opportunity to discover subtle patterns in their distributions, but also imposes overwhelming computational challenges. To fully utilize the information contained in big data, we propose a two-step procedure: (i) estimate conditional quantile functions at different levels in a parallel computing environment; (ii) construct a conditional quantile regression process through projection based on these estimated…

充分利用因子模型中的维度优势AI 解读

Factor modeling is an essential tool for exploring intrinsic dependence structures among high-dimensional random variables. Much progress has been made for estimating the covariance matrix from a high-dimensional factor model. However, the blessing of dimensionality has not yet been fully embraced in the literature: much of the available data is often ignored in constructing covariance matrix estimates. If our goal is to accurately estimate a covariance matrix of a set of…

具有理论保证的稀疏张量分解AI 解读

Summary We propose a novel sparse tensor decomposition method, namely the tensor truncated power method, that incorporates variable selection in the estimation of decomposition components. The sparsity is achieved via an efficient truncation step embedded in the tensor power iteration. Our method applies to a broad family of high dimensional latent variable models, including high dimensional Gaussian mixtures and mixtures of sparse regressions. A thorough theoretical…

高维线性模型的同时推断AI 解读

This article proposes a bootstrap-assisted procedure to conduct simultaneous inference for high-dimensional sparse linear models based on the recent desparsifying Lasso estimator. Our procedure allows the dimension of the parameter vector of interest to be exponentially larger than sample size, and it automatically accounts for the dependence within the desparsifying Lasso estimator. Moreover, our simultaneous testing method can be naturally coupled with the margin screening…

海量异质数据的部分线性框架AI 解读

We consider a partially linear framework for modelling massive heterogeneous data. The major goal is to extract common features across all sub-populations while exploring heterogeneity of each sub-population. In particular, we propose an aggregation type estimator for the commonality parameter that possesses the (non-asymptotic) minimax optimal bound and asymptotic distribution as if there were no heterogeneity. This oracular result holds when the number of sub-populations…

稳定化最近邻分类器及其统计性质AI 解读

The stability of statistical analysis is an important indicator for reproducibility, which is one main principle of the scientific method. It entails that similar statistical conclusions can be reached based on independent samples from the same underlying population. In this article, we introduce a general measure of classification instability (CIS) to quantify the sampling variability of the prediction made by a classification method. Interestingly, the asymptotic CIS of…

面向个体化医疗的主动临床试验AI 解读

Individualized treatment rules (ITRs) tailor treatments according to individual patient characteristics. They can significantly improve patient care and are thus becoming increasingly popular. The data collected during randomized clinical trials are often used to estimate the optimal ITRs. However, these trials are generally expensive to run, and, moreover, they are not designed to efficiently estimate ITRs. In this article, we propose a cost-effective estimation method from…

广义函数型线性模型的非参数推断AI 解读

We propose a roughness regularization approach in making nonparametric inference for generalized functional linear models. In a reproducing kernel Hilbert space framework, we construct asymptotically valid confidence intervals for regression mean, prediction intervals for future response and various statistical procedures for hypothesis testing. In particular, one procedure for testing global behaviors of the slope function is adaptive to the smoothness of the slope function…

具有部分线性结构的半非参数回归模型的联合渐近理论AI 解读

We consider a joint asymptotic framework for studying semi-nonparametric regression models where (finite-dimensional) Euclidean parameters and (infinite-dimensional) functional parameters are both of interest. The class of models in consideration share a partially linear structure and are estimated in two general contexts: (i) quasi-likelihood and (ii) true likelihood. We first show that the Euclidean estimator and (pointwise) functional estimator, which are re-scaled at…

平滑样条模型中的局部与全局渐近推断AI 解读

This article studies local and global inference for smoothing spline estimation in a unified asymptotic framework. We first introduce a new technical tool called functional Bahadur representation, which significantly generalizes the traditional Bahadur representation in parametric models, that is, Bahadur [Ann. Inst. Statist. Math. 37 (1966) 577–580]. Equipped with this tool, we develop four interconnected procedures for inference: (i) pointwise confidence interval; (ii)…

线性还是非线性？部分线性模型的自动结构发现AI 解读

Partially linear models provide a useful class of tools for modeling complex data by naturally incorporating a combination of linear and nonlinear effects within one framework. One key question in partially linear models is the choice of model structure, that is, how to decide which covariates are linear and which are nonlinear. This is a fundamental, yet largely unsolved problem for partially linear models. In practice, one often assumes that the model structure is given or…

一般半参数 M 估计的 Bootstrap 一致性AI 解读

Consider M-estimation in a semiparametric model that is characterized by a Euclidean parameter of interest and an infinite-dimensional nuisance parameter. As a general purpose approach to statistical inferences, the bootstrap has found wide applications in semiparametric M-estimation and, because of its simplicity, provides an attractive alternative to the inference approach based on the asymptotic distribution theory. The purpose of this paper is to provide theoretical…

后验剖面分布的一般频率学派性质AI 解读

In this paper, inference for the parametric component of a semiparametric model based on sampling from the posterior profile distribution is thoroughly investigated from the frequentist viewpoint. The higher-order validity of the profile sampler obtained in Cheng and Kosorok [Ann. Statist. 36 (2008)] is extended to semiparametric models in which the infinite dimensional nuisance parameter may not have a root-n convergence rate. This is a nontrivial extension because it…

利用剖面采样器进行高阶半参数频率学推断AI 解读

We consider higher order frequentist inference for the parametric component of a semiparametric model based on sampling from the posterior profile distribution. The first order validity of this procedure established by Lee, Kosorok and Fine in [J. American Statist. Assoc. 100 (2005) 960–969] is extended to second-order validity in the setting where the infinite-dimensional nuisance parameter achieves the parametric rate. Specifically, we obtain higher order estimates of the…