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An Econometric Analysis of Wilderness Area Use

荒野地区游憩使用量的计量经济分析

Although outdoor recreational use fluctuates daily, this time-varying feature has received little attention by economists and statisticians. In this paper, wilderness recreational use relationships are estimated, based on daily observations over the length of a given season, by (i) traditional econometric techniques and via (ii) time series analysis procedures promoted by Box and Jenkins [3]. In applying both sets of estimated relationships for forecasting purposes, the…

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An Econometric Analysis of Wilderness Area Use

荒野地区游憩使用的计量经济分析

Although outdoor recreational use fluctuates daily, this time-varying feature has received little attention by economists and statisticians. In this paper, wilderness recreational use relationships are estimated, based on daily observations over the length of a given season, by (i) traditional econometric techniques and via (ii) time series analysis procedures promoted by Box and Jenkins [3]. In applying both sets of estimated relationships for forecasting purposes, the…

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Approximate Distribution of Parameters in a Distributed Lag Model

分布滞后模型中参数的近似分布

In the construction of econometric models, the need frequently arises to test the significance of coefficients whose distribution is a ratio of two normal random variables for which no statistical tables exist. In this article the distribution of such a ratio, emanating from a partial adjustment model, is empirically approximated by utilizing Monte Carlo experiments with various sample sizes. The results indicate that the standardized distribution of the ratio is positively…

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