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Fellow’s opinion corner: Econometric information recovery

学者观点专栏:计量经济学的信息恢复

The purpose of this paper is to initiate a discussion on the incorrect nature of our economic–econometric models and methods, and to make a plea for information theoretic recovery methods consistent with the data that we must use and with the questions that we need to ask.

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A family of empirical likelihood functions and estimators for the binary response model

二元响应模型的一族经验似然函数与估计量

The minimum discrimination information principle is used to identify an appropriate parametric family of probability distributions and the corresponding maximum likelihood estimators for binary response models. Estimators in the family subsume the conventional logit model and form the basis for a set of parametric estimation alternatives with the usual asymptotic properties. Sampling experiments are used to assess finite sample performance.

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Asymptotic equivalence of empirical likelihood and Bayesian MAP

经验似然与贝叶斯最大后验估计的渐近等价性

In this paper we are interested in empirical likelihood (EL) as a method of estimation, and we address the following two problems: (1) selecting among various empirical discrepancies in an EL framework and (2) demonstrating that EL has a well-defined probabilistic interpretation that would justify its use in a Bayesian context. Using the large deviations approach, a Bayesian law of large numbers is developed that implies that EL and the Bayesian maximum a posteriori…

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Coordinate Based Empirical Likelihood-Like Estimation in Ill-Conditioned Inverse Problems

病态逆问题中基于坐标的类经验似然估计

In the context of a semiparametric regression model with underlying probability distribution unspecified, an extremum estimator formulation is proposed that makes use of empirical likelihood and information theoretic estimation and inference concepts to mitigate the problem of an ill-conditioned design matrix. A squared error loss measure is used to assess estimator performance in finite samples. In large samples, the estimator can be designed to be consistent and…

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A Maximum Entropy Approach to Recovering Information from Multinomial Response Data

从多项响应数据恢复信息的最大熵方法

The classical maximum entropy (ME) approach to estimating the unknown parameters of a multinomial discrete choice problem, which is equivalent to the maximum likelihood multinomial logit (ML) estimator, is generalized. The generalized maximum entropy (GME) model includes noise terms in the multinomial information constraints. Each noise term is modeled as the mean of a finite set of a priori known points in the interval [−1,1] with unknown probabilities where no parametric…

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Estimation of Location Parameters Under Nonnormal Errors and Quadratic Loss

非正态误差与二次损失下的位置参数估计

Assuming a statistical model in which the joint distribution of the unobservable errors is drawn from independent univariate Student t's that are identically and symmetrically distributed, the sampling performance of traditional robust estimators and a family of Stein-like estimators are compared and evaluated. These results suggest that under thick-tailed distributions, the relative sampling performances and risk characteristics for a range of nonconventional Stein…

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Minimax Estimators for the Location Vectors of Spherically Symmetric Densities

球对称密度位置向量的极小极大估计

The estimation of K ( K ≥ 3) location parameters is considered under quadratic loss when the coordinates of the best invariant estimators are spherically symmetrically distributed. Under these stochastic mechanisms traditional Stein estimators are evaluated for finite samples and shown to have a risk performance superior to some conventional rules.

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