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ON THE BIMODALITY OF THE EXACT DISTRIBUTION OF THE TSLS ESTIMATOR

两阶段最小二乘估计量精确分布的双峰性

We investigate the possible bimodality of the density of the two-stage least squares (TSLS) estimator in a just-identified/overidentified linear structural equation. By studying the interaction between weakness of instruments, degree of endogeneity, and degree of overidentification we are able to identify conditions for its existence.I thank Grant Hillier, Patrick Marsh, Don Poskitt, the editor Peter Phillips, and two anonymous referees for useful and encouraging comments.

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OPTIMAL SIMILAR TESTS FOR STRUCTURAL CHANGE FOR THE LINEAR REGRESSION MODEL

线性回归结构变化的最优相似检验

This paper analyzes similar tests for structural change for the normal linear regression model in finite samples. Using the approach of Wald (1943, American Mathematical Society Transactions 54, 426–482), Hillier (1987, Econometric Theory 3, 1–44), Andrews and Ploberger (1994, Econometrica 62, 1382–1414), and Andrews, Lee, and Ploberger (1996, Journal of Econometrics 70, 9–36), we characterize a class of optimal similar tests for the existence of (possibly multiple)…

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THE EXACT CUMULATIVE DISTRIBUTION FUNCTION OF A RATIO OF QUADRATIC FORMS IN NORMAL VARIABLES, WITH APPLICATION TO THE AR(1) MODEL

正态变量二次型之比的精确累积分布函数及其 AR(1) 应用

Often neither the exact density nor the exact cumulative distribution function (c.d.f.) of a statistic of interest is available in the statistics and econometrics literature (e.g., the maximum likelihood estimator of the autocorrelation coefficient in a simple Gaussian AR(1) model with zero start-up value). In other cases the exact c.d.f. of a statistic of interest is very complicated despite the statistic being “simple” (e.g., the circular serial correlation coefficient, or…

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