Inference related to common breaks in a multivariate system with joined segmented trends with applications to global and hemispheric temperatures
连续分段趋势多变量系统中的共同断点推断：全球与半球气温应用
What transpires from recent research is that temperatures and radiative forcing seem to be characterized by a linear trend with two changes in the rate of growth. The first occurs in the early 60s and indicates a very large increase in the rate of growth of both temperature and radiative forcing series. This was termed as the “onset of sustained global warming”. The second is related to the more recent so-called hiatus period, which suggests that temperatures and total…