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非参数回归中贝叶斯推断的分析AI 解读

The observation model $y_i = \beta(i/n) + \varepsilon_i, 1 \leq i \leq n$, is considered, where the $\varepsilon$'s are i.i.d. with mean zero and variance $\sigma^2$ and $\beta$ is an unknown smooth function. A Gaussian prior distribution is specified by assuming $\beta$ is the solution of a high order stochastic differential equation. The estimation error $\delta = \beta - \hat{\beta}$ is analyzed, where $\hat{\beta}$ is the posterior expectation of $\beta$. Asymptotic…

近非平稳 AR(1) 过程的高斯似然估计AI 解读

An asymptotic analysis is presented for estimation in the three-parameter first-order autoregressive model, where the parameters are the mean, autoregressive coefficient and variance of the shocks. The nearly nonstationary asymptotic model is considered wherein the autoregressive coefficient tends to 1 as sample size tends to $\infty$. Three different estimators are considered: the exact Gaussian maximum likelihood estimator, the conditional maximum likelihood or least…

近非平稳自回归时间序列的最大似然型估计AI 解读

The nearly nonstationary first-order autoregression is a sequence of autoregressive processes $y_n(k + 1) = \phi_ny_n(k) + \varepsilon(k + 1), 0 \leq k \leq n$, where the $\varepsilon(k)$'s are iid mean zero shocks and the autoregressive coefficient $\phi_n = 1 - \beta/n$ for some $\beta > 0$, so that $\phi_n \rightarrow 1$ as $n \rightarrow \infty$. We consider a class of maximum likelihood type estimators called $M$ estimators, which are not necessarily robust. The…

惩罚似然及相关估计量的渐近分析AI 解读

A general approach to the first order asymptotic analysis of penalized likelihood and related estimators is described. The method gives expansions for the systematic and random error. Asymptotic convergence rates in a family of spectral norms are obtained. The theory applies to a broad range of function estimation problems including nonparametric density, hazard and generalized regression curve estimation. Some examples are provided.

离散含噪数据下积分方程正则化解的收敛速率AI 解读

Given data $y_i = (Kg)(u_i) + \varepsilon_i$ where the $\varepsilon$'s are random errors, the $u$'s are known, $g$ is an unknown function in a reproducing kernel space with kernel $r$ and $K$ is a known integral operator, it is shown how to calculate convergence rates for the regularized solution of the equation as the evaluation points $\{u_i\}$ become dense in the interval of interest. These rates are shown to depend on the eigenvalue asymptotics of $KRK^\ast$, where $R$ is…

嵌套子空间上最小二乘回归的近似分析AI 解读

For a regression model $y_i = \theta(x_i) + \varepsilon_i$, the unknown function $\theta$ is estimated by least squares on a subspace $\Lambda_m = \operatorname{span}\{\psi_1, \psi, \cdots, \psi_m\}$, where the basis functions $\psi_i$ are predetermined and $m$ is varied. Assuming that the design is suitably approximated by an asymptotic design measure, a general method is presented for approximating the bias and variance in a scale of Hilbertian norms natural to the…

正则化方法估计量的近似AI 解读

The Tikhonov method of regularization (MOR) estimator provides a general method for estimation of a nonparametric regression parameter in an abstract linear model with discrete noisy data. An asymptotic analysis is given in which the discrete estimation problem is approximated by a continuous one. Rates of convergence are calculated in a family of norms natural to the problem. The general theory is applied to the estimation of functions from noisy evaluations of the function…

M 型平滑样条的渐近理论AI 解读

Limit theorems giving rates of convergence of nonparametric regression estimates obtained from smoothing splines are proved. The main emphasis is on nonlinear, robust smoothing splines, but new results are obtained for the usual (linear) case. It is assumed that the knots become asymptotically uniform in a vague sense. Convergence of derivatives is also investigated. The main mathematical tools are a linearization of the robust smoothing spline, and an approximation of the…