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匹配调查与行政数据中的收入动态和测量误差AI 解读

This article analyzes earnings dynamics and measurement error using a matched longitudinal sample of individuals’ survey and administrative earnings. In line with previous literature, the reported differences are characterized by both persistent and transitory factors. Estimating a model consistent with past results, survey errors are mean-reverting when administrative reports are assumed correct, but not when this assumption is relaxed. Although most reported earnings…

长期福利领取者收入补贴的动态效应：自立项目申请者实验的证据AI 解读

In the Self Sufficiency Project Applicant Experiment, new welfare entrants were informed that if they remained on public assistance for a year they would become eligible to receive a generous earnings subsidy offer. Those who satisfied the waiting period, and then left welfare and began working full time within the following year, were entitled to receive payments for up to 36 months whenever they were off welfare and working full time. A simple optimizing model suggests…

对福利退出者提供限时工资补贴的效应估计AI 解读

In the Self Sufficiency Project (SSP) welfare demonstration, members of a randomly assigned treatment group could receive a subsidy for full-time work. The subsidy was available for 3 years, but only to people who began working full time within 12 months of random assignment. A simple optimizing model suggests that the eligibility rules created an “establishment” incentive to find a job and leave welfare within a year of random assignment, and an “entitlement” incentive to…

已婚女性跨期劳动参与中的状态依赖、序列相关与异质性AI 解读

The intertemporal labor force participation of married women is analyzed using a dynamic search framework. Maximum simulated likelihood (MSL) estimation is used to estimate dynamic Probit models, and the sensitivity to alternative assumptions examined using Linear Probability models. Participation decisions are characterized by significant positive state dependence, unobserved heterogeneity, and negatively correlated errors. The hypothesis that women's participation is…