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New Estimands for Experiments with Strong Interference

强干扰实验的新估计目标

In experiments that study social phenomena, such as peer influence or herd immunity, the treatment of one unit may influence the outcomes of others. Such “interference between units” violates traditional approaches for causal inference, so that additional assumptions are often imposed to model or limit the underlying social mechanism. For binary outcomes, we propose new estimands that can be estimated without such assumptions, allowing for interval estimates that assume only…

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Estimation of Monotone Treatment Effects in Network Experiments

网络实验中单调处理效应的估计

Randomized experiments on social networks pose statistical challenges, due to the possibility of interference between units. We propose new methods for finding confidence intervals on the attributable treatment effect in such settings. The methods do not require partial interference, but instead require an identifying assumption that is similar to requiring nonnegative treatment effects. Network or spatial information can be used to customize the test statistic; in…

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Co-clustering separately exchangeable network data

分别可交换网络数据的协同聚类

This article establishes the performance of stochastic blockmodels in addressing the co-clustering problem of partitioning a binary array into subsets, assuming only that the data are generated by a nonparametric process satisfying the condition of separate exchangeability. We provide oracle inequalities with rate of convergence $\mathcal{O}_{P}(n^{-1/4})$ corresponding to profile likelihood maximization and mean-square error minimization, and show that the blockmodel can be…

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Asymptotic normality of maximum likelihood and its variational approximation for stochastic blockmodels

随机分块模型最大似然估计及其变分近似的渐近正态性

Variational methods for parameter estimation are an active research area, potentially offering computationally tractable heuristics with theoretical performance bounds. We build on recent work that applies such methods to network data, and establish asymptotic normality rates for parameter estimates of stochastic blockmodel data, by either maximum likelihood or variational estimation. The result also applies to various sub-models of the stochastic blockmodel found in the…

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