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对数据选择后参数的调整贝叶斯推断AI 解读

Summary We address the problem of providing inference from a Bayesian perspective for parameters selected after viewing the data. We present a Bayesian framework for providing inference for selected parameters, based on the observation that providing Bayesian inference for selected parameters is a truncated data problem. We show that if the prior for the parameter is non-informative, or if the parameter is a ‘fixed’ unknown constant, then it is necessary to adjust the…

控制错误发现率的层级检验方法AI 解读

We discuss methodology for controlling the false discovery rate (FDR) in complex large-scale studies that involve testing multiple families of hypotheses; the tested hypotheses are arranged in a tree of disjoint subfamilies, and the subfamilies of hypotheses are hierarchically tested by the Benjamini and Hochberg FDR-controlling (BH) procedure. We derive an approximation for the multiple family FDR for independently distributed test statistics: q, the level at which the BH…

控制错误发现率的自适应线性逐步上升程序AI 解读

The linear step-up multiple testing procedure controls the false discovery rate at the desired level q for independent and positively dependent test statistics. When all null hypotheses are true, and the test statistics are independent and continuous, the bound is sharp. When some of the null hypotheses are not true, the procedure is conservative by a factor which is the proportion m0/m of the true null hypotheses among the hypotheses. We provide a new two-stage procedure in…

所选参数的错误发现率调整多重置信区间AI 解读

Often in applied research, confidence intervals (CIs) are constructed or reported only for parameters selected after viewing the data. We show that such selected intervals fail to provide the assumed coverage probability. By generalizing the false discovery rate (FDR) approach from multiple testing to selected multiple CIs, we suggest the false coverage-statement rate (FCR) as a measure of interval coverage following selection. A general procedure is then introduced,…