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回归函数可加性的检验AI 解读

Observations $y_{ij}$ are made at points $(x_{1i},x_{2j})$ according to the model $y_{iy}=F(x_{1i},x_{2j})+e_{ij}$, where the $e_{ij}$ are independent normals with constant variance. In order to test that $F(x_1,x_2)$ is an additive function of $x_1$ and $x_2$, a likelihood ratio test is constructed comparing $F(x_1,x_2)=\mu+Z_1 (x_1)+Z_2(x_2)$ with $F(x_1,x_2)=\mu+Z_1(x_1)+Z_2(x_2)+Z(x_1,x_2)$, where $Z_1$, $Z_2$ are Brownian motions and Z is a Brownian sheet. The ratio of…

变点问题的贝叶斯分析AI 解读

A sequence of observations undergoes sudden changes at unknown times. We model the process by supposing that there is an underlying sequence of parameters partitioned into contiguous blocks of equal parameter values; the beginning of each block is said to be a change point. Observations are then assumed to be independent in different blocks given the sequence of parameters. In a Bayesian analysis it is necessary to give probability distributions to both the change points and…

变点问题的乘积分割模型AI 解读

Product partition models assume that observations in different components of a random partition of the data are independent. If the probability distribution of random partitions is in a certain product form prior to making the observations, it is also in product form given the observations. The product model thus provides a convenient machinery for allowing the data to weight the partitions likely to hold; and inference about particular future observations may then be made…

检验偏离常数均值的综合检验AI 解读

Observations $y_i$ are made at points $x_i$ according to the model $y_i = F(x_i) + e_i$, where the $e_i$ are independent normals with constant variance. In order to decide whether or not $F(x)$ is constant, a likelihood ratio test is constructed, comparing $F(x) \equiv \mu$ with $F(x) = \mu + Z(x)$, where $Z(x)$ is a Brownian motion. The ratio of error variance to Brownian motion variance is chosen to maximize the likelihood, and the resulting maximum likelihood statistic $B$…

非参数贝叶斯回归AI 解读

It is desired to estimate a real valued function F on the unit square having observed F with error at N points in the square. F is assumed to be drawn from a particular Gaussian process and measured with independent Gaussian errors. The proposed estimate is the Bayes estimate of F given the data. The roughness penalty corresponding to the prior is derived and it is shown how the Bayesian technique can be regarded as a generalisation of variance components analysis. The…