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用于估计时间平均协方差矩阵的翼帆型滞后窗AI 解读

Summary Lag windows are commonly used in time series analysis, econometrics, steady-state simulation and Markov chain Monte Carlo to estimate time-average covariance matrices. In the presence of positive correlation in the underlying process, estimators of this matrix almost always exhibit significant negative bias, leading to undesirable finite-sample properties. We propose a new family of lag windows specifically designed to improve finite-sample performance by offsetting…

难处理后验的高效伯努利工厂马尔可夫链蒙特卡洛AI 解读

Summary Accept-reject-based Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms have traditionally utilized acceptance probabilities that can be explicitly written as a function of the ratio of the target density at the two contested points. This feature is rendered almost useless in Bayesian posteriors with unknown functional forms. We introduce a new family of Markov chain Monte Carlo acceptance probabilities that has the distinguishing feature of not being a function of the ratio of the…