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Graph-based multisample comparison with application to feature selection for multi-category responses

基于图的多样本比较及多类别响应的特征选择

This article proposes a graph-based maximum pairwise difference (MPD) test to compare K-sample distributions. This test can be utilized to identify the most informative variables contributing to the heterogeneity of multiple multivariate distributions. To construct the test, we first pool observations from multiple samples to create a similarity graph based on the distances between any two observations. For each observation, we next evaluate its connection probability to…

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A goodness-of-fit test for sparse networks

稀疏网络的拟合优度检验

The stochastic block model (SBM) has been widely used to analyze network data. Various goodness-of-fit tests have been proposed to assess the adequacy of model structures. To the best of our knowledge, however, none of the existing approaches are applicable for sparse networks in which the connection probability of any two communities is of order n−1logn, and the number of communities is divergent. To fill this gap, we propose a novel goodness-of-fit test for the stochastic…

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Network Varying Coefficient Model

网络变系数模型

We propose a novel network-varying coefficient model that extends traditional varying coefficient models to accommodate network data. The main idea is to model the regression coefficients as the functions of the latent “locations” of network nodes that drive formation of the network. To estimate the model, we identify the latent “locations” via the latent space model and then develop an iterative projected gradient descent algorithm by optimizing the network parameters and…

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Fixed and random covariance regression analyses

固定与随机协变量下的协方差回归分析

Covariance regression analysis is an approach to linking the covariance of responses to a set of explanatory variables X, where X can be a vector, matrix, or tensor. Most of the literature on this topic focuses on the “Fixed-X” setting and treats X as nonrandom. By contrast, treating explanatory variables X as random, namely the “Random-X” setting, is often more realistic in practice. This article aims to fill this gap in the literature on the estimation and model assessment…

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Maximum-Subsampling Test of Equal Predictive Ability

预测能力相等的最大子抽样检验

In comparing the accuracy of any two competing forecasts, under the assumption that the loss differentials are covariance stationary, Diebold and Mariano (DM) proposed a test statistic that is asymptotically normal. This test is further studied by Giacomini and White (GW). However, under the DM-GW framework, the estimator of the variance of the DM test can be inaccurate in small samples, which yields size distortions; see, for example, Coroneo and Iacone (CI). To alleviate…

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Covariance Model with General Linear Structure and Divergent Parameters

一般线性结构与增长参数维度的协方差模型

For estimating the large covariance matrix with a limited sample size, we propose the covariance model with general linear structure (CMGL) by employing the general link function to connect the covariance of the continuous response vector to a linear combination of weight matrices. Without assuming the distribution of responses, and allowing the number of parameters associated with weight matrices to diverge, we obtain the quasi-maximum likelihood estimators (QMLE) of…

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Inward and Outward Network Influence Analysis

网络节点的向内与向外影响分析

Measuring heterogeneous influence across nodes in a network is critical in network analysis. This article proposes an inward and outward network influence (IONI) model to assess nodal heterogeneity. Specifically, we allow for two types of influence parameters; one measures the magnitude of influence that each node exerts on others (outward influence), while we introduce a new parameter to quantify the receptivity of each node to being influenced by others (inward influence).…

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Inference on covariance-mean regression

协方差—均值回归的统计推断

In this article, we introduce a covariance-mean regression model with heterogeneous similarity matrices. It not only links the covariance of responses to heterogeneous similarity matrices induced by auxiliary information, but also establishes the relationship between the mean of responses and covariates. Under this new model setting, however, two statistical inference challenges are encountered. The first challenge is that the consistency of the covariance estimator based on…

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Imputations for High Missing Rate Data in Covariates Via Semi-supervised Learning Approach

利用半监督学习插补高缺失率协变量

Advancements in data collection techniques and the heterogeneity of data resources can yield high percentages of missing observations on variables, such as block-wise missing data. Under missing-data scenarios, traditional methods such as the simple average, k-nearest neighbor, multiple, and regression imputations may lead to results that are unstable or unable be computed. Motivated by the concept of semi-supervised learning, we propose a novel approach with which to fill…

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Testing Alphas in Conditional Time-Varying Factor Models With High-Dimensional Assets

高维资产条件时变因子模型中的 Alpha 检验

For conditional time-varying factor models with high-dimensional assets, this article proposes a high-dimensional alpha (HDA) test to assess whether there exist abnormal returns on securities (or portfolios) over the theoretical expected returns. To employ this test effectively, a constant coefficient test is also introduced. It examines the validity of constant alphas and factor loadings. Simulation studies and an empirical example are presented to illustrate the finite…

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A robust and efficient approach to causal inference based on sparse sufficient dimension reduction

基于稀疏充分降维的稳健高效因果推断

A fundamental assumption used in causal inference with observational data is that treatment assignment is ignorable given measured confounding variables. This assumption of no missing confounders is plausible if a large number of baseline covariates are included in the analysis, as we often have no prior knowledge of which variables can be important confounders. Thus, estimation of treatment effects with a large number of covariates has received considerable attention in…

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Covariance Matrix Estimation via Network Structure

利用网络结构估计协方差矩阵

In this article, we employ a regression formulation to estimate the high-dimensional covariance matrix for a given network structure. Using prior information contained in the network relationships, we model the covariance as a polynomial function of the symmetric adjacency matrix. Accordingly, the problem of estimating a high-dimensional covariance matrix is converted to one of estimating low dimensional coefficients of the polynomial regression function, which we can…

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Tests for covariance structures with high-dimensional repeated measurements

高维重复测量数据的协方差结构检验

In regression analysis with repeated measurements, such as longitudinal data and panel data, structured covariance matrices characterized by a small number of parameters have been widely used and play an important role in parameter estimation and statistical inference. To assess the adequacy of a specified covariance structure, one often adopts the classical likelihood-ratio test when the dimension of the repeated measurements ($p$) is smaller than the sample size ($n$).…

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Variable Screening via Quantile Partial Correlation

基于分位数偏相关的变量筛选

In quantile linear regression with ultra-high dimensional data, we propose an algorithm for screening all candidate variables and subsequently selecting relevant predictors. Specifically, we first employ quantile partial correlation for screening, and then we apply the extended Bayesian information criterion (EBIC) for best subset selection. Our proposed method can successfully select predictors when the variables are highly correlated, and it can also identify variables…

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Covariance Regression Analysis

协方差回归分析

This article introduces covariance regression analysis for a p-dimensional response vector. The proposed method explores the regression relationship between the p-dimensional covariance matrix and auxiliary information. We study three types of estimators: maximum likelihood, ordinary least squares, and feasible generalized least squares estimators. Then, we demonstrate that these regression estimators are consistent and asymptotically normal. Furthermore, we obtain the high…

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Testing a single regression coefficient in high dimensional linear models

高维线性模型中单个回归系数的检验

In linear regression models with high dimensional data, the classical z-test (or t-test) for testing the significance of each single regression coefficient is no longer applicable. This is mainly because the number of covariates exceeds the sample size. In this paper, we propose a simple and novel alternative by introducing the Correlated Predictors Screening (CPS) method to control for predictors that are highly correlated with the target covariate. Accordingly, the…

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Quantile Correlations and Quantile Autoregressive Modeling

分位数相关与分位数自回归建模

In this article, we propose two important measures, quantile correlation (QCOR) and quantile partial correlation (QPCOR). We then apply them to quantile autoregressive (QAR) models, and introduce two valuable quantities, the quantile autocorrelation function (QACF) and the quantile partial autocorrelation function (QPACF). This allows us to extend the Box–Jenkins three-stage procedure (model identification, model parameter estimation, and model diagnostic checking) from…

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Testing the Diagonality of a Large Covariance Matrix in a Regression Setting

回归设定下大型协方差矩阵的对角性检验

In multivariate analysis, the covariance matrix associated with a set of variables of interest (namely response variables) commonly contains valuable information about the dataset. When the dimension of response variables is considerably larger than the sample size, it is a nontrivial task to assess whether there are linear relationships between the variables. It is even more challenging to determine whether a set of explanatory variables can explain those relationships. To…

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Estimation and testing for partially linear single-index models

部分线性单指标模型的估计与检验

In partially linear single-index models, we obtain the semiparametrically efficient profile least-squares estimators of regression coefficients. We also employ the smoothly clipped absolute deviation penalty (SCAD) approach to simultaneously select variables and estimate regression coefficients. We show that the resulting SCAD estimators are consistent and possess the oracle property. Subsequently, we demonstrate that a proposed tuning parameter selector, BIC, identifies the…

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Regularization Parameter Selections via Generalized Information Criterion

通过广义信息准则选择正则化参数

We apply the nonconcave penalized likelihood approach to obtain variable selections as well as shrinkage estimators. This approach relies heavily on the choice of regularization parameter, which controls the model complexity. In this paper, we propose employing the generalized information criterion (GIC), encompassing the commonly used Akaike information criterion (AIC) and Bayesian information criterion (BIC), for selecting the regularization parameter. Our proposal makes a…

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Contour projected dimension reduction

基于轮廓投影的降维

In regression analysis, we employ contour projection (CP) to develop a new dimension reduction theory. Accordingly, we introduce the notions of the central contour subspace and generalized contour subspace. We show that both of their structural dimensions are no larger than that of the central subspace Cook [Regression Graphics (1998b) Wiley]. Furthermore, we employ CP-sliced inverse regression, CP-sliced average variance estimation and CP-directional regression to estimate…

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Tail Index Regression

尾指数回归

In extreme value statistics, the tail index is an important measure to gauge the heavy-tailed behavior of a distribution. Under Pareto-type distributions, we employ the logarithmic function to link the tail index to the linear predictor induced by covariates, which constitutes the tail index regression model. We then propose an approximate log-likelihood function to obtain regression parameter estimators, and subsequently show the asymptotic normality of those estimators.…

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Clarification: Regression Model Selection—A Residual Likelihood Approach

澄清:回归模型选择的残差似然方法

In regression models, Shi and Tsai (2002) applied the logarithm of the commonly used residual maximum likelihood function (2.2) to obtain the residual information criterion RIC in equation (2.10). Function (2.2) is the same as the modified profile likelihood function, but it is different from the complete residual maximum likelihood function that contains two additional terms, −12(n−k)log⁡(2π) and 12log⁡|X′X|⁠, on the right-hand side of expression (2.2). Because these two…

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Extending the Akaike Information Criterion to Mixture Regression Models

将赤池信息准则扩展至混合回归模型

We examine the problem of jointly selecting the number of components and variables in finite mixture regression models. We find that the Akaike information criterion is unsatisfactory for this purpose because it overestimates the number of components, which in turn results in incorrect variables being retained in the model. Therefore, we derive a new information criterion, the mixture regression criterion (MRC), that yields marked improvement in model selection due to what…

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