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线性纯死亡过程的初始规模估计AI 解读

Consider a linear pure death process in which the common death rate and the initial size n of the population are both unknown. An estimate of n is required, based on the observed times of the first j deaths, i.e. with censored sampling. It is shown that the only reliable non-Bayesian method is to use interval estimates, for all the standard point estimation techniques are liable to fail. Appropriate interval estimators are derived and discussed. The corresponding truncated…

线性纯死亡过程的初始规模估计AI 解读

Consider a linear pure death process in which the common death rate and the initial size n of the population are both unknown. An estimate of n is required, based on the observed times of the first j deaths, i.e. with censored sampling. It is shown that the only reliable non-Bayesian method is to use interval estimates, for all the standard point estimation techniques are liable to fail. Appropriate interval estimators are derived and discussed. The corresponding truncated…