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Estimating Functions in Indirect Inference

间接推断中的估计函数

Summary There are models for which the evaluation of the likelihood is infeasible in practice. For these models the Metropolis–Hastings acceptance probability cannot be easily computed. This is the case, for instance, when only departure times from a G/G/1 queue are observed and inference on the arrival and service distributions are required. Indirect inference is a method to estimate a parameter θ in models whose likelihood function does not have an analytical closed form,…

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Antithetic coupling of two Gibbs sampler chains

两条 Gibbs 采样链的对偶耦合

Two coupled Gibbs sampler chains, both with invariant probability density $p$, are run in parallel so that the chains are negatively correlated.We define an asymptotically unbiased estimator of the $\pi$-expectation $E(f(\mathbf(X))$ which achieves significant variance reduction with respect to the usual Gibbs sampler at comparable computational cost. The variance of the estimator based on the new algorithm is always smaller than the variance of a single Gibbs sampler chain,…

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Informative Priors for the Bayesian Classification of Satellite Images

卫星影像贝叶斯分类中的信息性先验

In the Bayesian classification of satellite images, a prior distribution is used that aims to model the belief of spatial homogeneity of the underlying region. We extend this prior distribution to model certain topographical features of the area such as the position of the roads, the slopes, and the aspects. We demonstrate the effectiveness of this prior distribution in a reconstruction algorithm by means of a simulation study in which the quality of the result is assessed…

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Informative Priors for the Bayesian Classification of Satellite Images

卫星图像贝叶斯分类中的信息先验

In the Bayesian classification of satellite images, a prior distribution is used that aims to model the belief of spatial homogeneity of the underlying region. We extend this prior distribution to model certain topographical features of the area such as the position of the roads, the slopes, and the aspects. We demonstrate the effectiveness of this prior distribution in a reconstruction algorithm by means of a simulation study in which the quality of the result is assessed…

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Convergence Rates of the Gibbs Sampler, the Metropolis Algorithm and Other Single-Site Updating Dynamics

Gibbs 采样、Metropolis 算法及其他单点更新动力学的收敛速率

SUMMARY Sampling from a Markov random field II can be performed efficiently via Monta Carlo methods by simulating a Markov chain that converges weakly to II. We consider a class of local updating dynamics that are reversible with respect to II. It includes the Metropolis algorithm (MA) and the Gibbs sampler (GS). We investigate the speed of weak convergence of these Markov chains in terms of their second-largest eigenvalues in absolute value. We study the general algebraic…

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