Rank-invariance conditions for the comparison of volatility forecasts
Summary The paper derives four conditions that guarantee rank-invariance, i.e., that the empirical rankings (based on measurement error-affected variance proxies) of competing volatility forecasts be consistent with the true rankings (based on the unobservable conditional variance). The first three establish bounds beyond which the separation between the forecasts is enough for their rankings not to be affected by the measurement error. The conditions’ ability to establish…